JPM Maintains NTES-S as Industry Favorite While Reducing Target Price to HKD280
JPMorgan's Target Price Adjustment: JPMorgan has lowered its target price for NetEase (NTES-S) from HKD295 to HKD280 and for NetEase (NTES.US) from USD190 to USD180, due to a 3% reduction in the 2026 EPS forecast linked to delays in new game launches.
Game Launch Delays: The report indicates that the launch of "Sea of Remnants" is now expected in Q3 2026 (previously Q2 2026) and "Ananta" in 1H 2027 (previously 2H 2026).
JPMorgan's Market Positioning: Despite the target price reduction, JPMorgan maintains an Overweight rating for both NTES-S and NTES-US, positioning NTES-S as a top pick in China's digital entertainment sector over a 6- to 12-month outlook.
Competitive Landscape: JPMorgan suggests that KUAISHOU-W may outperform NTES-S in the short term due to its focus on generative AI and related themes.
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Market Opening Trends: The HSI opened 1.2% lower at 26,305, with significant declines in the HSCEI and HSTECH, while energy stocks like SINOPEC and PETROCHINA saw gains due to rising oil prices.
Loan Prime Rate Stability: China's 1Y Loan Prime Rate remains unchanged at 3%, aligning with forecasts, indicating stability in the financial sector.
Shipping and Gold Stocks Performance: Shipping stocks advanced at the open, with OOIL and COSCO SHIP HOLD rising, while gold stocks rallied due to increasing gold prices, with notable gains for SD GOLD and ZHAOJIN MINING.
Tech and Automotive Sector Movements: Tech stocks like TENCENT and JD-SW showed slight increases, while major players like BABA-W and NIO-SW experienced declines, reflecting mixed performance across the sector.
Market Performance: The Hang Seng Index (HSI) rose by 249 points (0.9%) to close at 26,630, with a total market turnover of HKD288.42 billion. The HSCEI and HSTECH also saw gains, closing at 8,859 and 5,137 respectively.
Property Sector Highlights: SHK PPT reported a nearly 17% increase in interim underlying profit, leading to a 7.1% rise in its stock price. Other property developers like New World Dev and CK Asset also experienced stock price increases.
MSCI Index Changes: Changes to the MSCI China Index constituents were noted, with stocks like HESAI-W and SENSETIME-W seeing significant gains of 4.4% and 4.9%, while PONY-W and YOFC surged over 10%.
Tech Sector Updates: In the tech sector, BIDU-SW reported a 42% YoY decline in non-GAAP net profit but slightly exceeded market expectations, leading to a minor stock rebound. Other tech stocks like Tencent and Netease also saw modest increases, while Alibaba and Kuaishou experienced slight declines.

Market Performance: Hong Kong stocks rebounded in the morning session on the 27th, with the HSI rising 197 points (0.75%) to 26,578, following a decline of 384 points (1.4%) the previous day. Total half-day turnover reached $121.827 billion.
Homebuilder Gains: SHK PPT saw a significant increase of 6.8% after reporting a 17% rise in interim underlying profit and a dividend hike to $0.98, which surprised brokers positively. Other homebuilders like New World Dev and Sino Land also experienced gains.
Tech Sector Updates: BIDU-SW rebounded 0.7% despite a 42% YoY decline in non-GAAP net profit, while Meituan-W's share price rose 2.1% despite delays in its launch plans. Tencent and Netease also saw increases of 2.8% and 2.8%, respectively.
Chip Stocks Movement: SMIC's stock fell by 0.8%, while HUA HONG SEMI dropped 2%. Other chip-related stocks like InnoScience and Biren Tech also experienced declines of 3.4% and 3.9%, respectively.
US Stock Market Performance: US stocks showed mixed results, with the DJIA slightly up by 17 points while the Nasdaq fell by 1.2% due to Nvidia's decline.
Hong Kong Stock Market Opening: The HSI opened 66 points higher after a previous drop, while the HSCEI and HSTECH also saw slight increases in their opening values.
Tech Sector Updates: BIDU-SW reported a 42% YoY decline in non-GAAP net profit, leading to a 5.7% drop in its ADR, while MEITUAN-W postponed its launch in Brazil but opened higher.
Financial Sector Movements: HSBC HOLDINGS and AIA opened higher, while HKEX remained flat, indicating a generally positive trend in the financial sector despite varying short selling ratios.

Market Performance: The Hang Seng Index (HSI) fell by 384 points (1.4%) to close at 26,381, while the Hang Seng Tech Index (HSTI) and the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI) also experienced declines of 2.9% and 2.4%, respectively, with a total market turnover of $259.28 billion.
Notable Stock Movements: Major stocks like PING AN, BABA, and TENCENT saw significant declines, with PING AN dropping 4.6% and BABA down 3.6%. Conversely, HKEX and CKI Holdings were among the few gainers, with increases of 0.8% and 4.5%, respectively.
High Short Selling Activity: Several stocks experienced high short selling ratios, particularly ZHONGSHENG HLDG and BEIGENE, which saw declines of 10.8% and 9.2%, respectively, indicating bearish sentiment among investors.
Sector Highlights: The technology and healthcare sectors faced notable losses, with companies like WUXI BIO and XPENG dropping over 5%, while some stocks like FIT HON TENG showed strong gains, increasing by 11.5%.

Lunar New Year Entertainment Trends: Offline entertainment during the Lunar New Year saw a divergence, with tourism consumption increasing by 19% YoY, while the box office dropped to RMB5.7 billion, a 40% YoY decline, attributed to a lack of quality content.
Stock Market Reactions: Recent stock price corrections in companies like Tencent and Kuaishou are noted, with some nearing the low end of their five-year PE ratio ranges, despite expectations for EPS growth in 2026.
Competitive Landscape: Kuaishou and Bilibili are recognized for their strong business foundations and AI potential, while the music and live streaming sectors face heightened competition.
Goldman Sachs Adjustments: Goldman Sachs lowered its expectations for DAMAI ENT due to potential movie losses but anticipates double-digit growth in IP-related merchandise and overall profit margins improving, maintaining a Buy rating with a revised target price.






