Investor Reactions to the Iran War
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 1 hour ago
0mins
Should l Buy ESLT?
Source: NASDAQ.COM
- Market Volatility Analysis: Since the U.S. and Israel attacked Iran, the S&P 500 has experienced significant volatility, plummeting on Tuesday before nearly recovering losses on Wednesday, indicating the market's sensitivity to geopolitical crises.
- Oil and Defense Stocks Surge: The war has led to soaring oil prices and rising defense stocks, reflecting heightened investor expectations for increased defense spending amid uncertain international conditions.
- Investor Advice: Notable investor Steve Eisman advises investors to remain on the sidelines during the current situation, believing that short-term market reactions should not dictate long-term investment strategies, emphasizing the importance of a long-term perspective.
- Geopolitical Impact: While geopolitical turmoil is common, Eisman points out that the war's impact on the stock market will primarily manifest in specific sectors rather than trigger a global recession, urging investors to focus on industry dynamics rather than short-term news.
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Analyst Views on ESLT
Wall Street analysts forecast ESLT stock price to fall
3 Analyst Rating
1 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 823.080
Low
531.00
Averages
553.67
High
580.00
Current: 823.080
Low
531.00
Averages
553.67
High
580.00
About ESLT
Elbit Systems Ltd. is an international technology company engaged in a range of programs across the world. The Company develops and supplies a portfolio of airborne, land and naval systems and products for defense, homeland security and commercial aviation applications. Its systems and products are installed on new platforms, and it also performs platform modernization programs. In addition, it provides a range of support services. The Company's activities include military aircraft and helicopter systems; helmet mounted systems; commercial aviation systems and aerostructures; unmanned aircraft and unmanned surface vessels; land vehicle systems; command, control, communications, computer and intelligence (C4I) systems; intelligence and cyber systems; electro-optic and countermeasures systems; electronic warfare and signal intelligence systems, and various commercial activities. It operates primarily in the defense and homeland security arenas.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Increased Market Volatility: Following the U.S. and Israel's attacks on Iran, the S&P 500 experienced significant fluctuations over three sessions, dropping sharply on Tuesday before recovering much of its losses on Wednesday, indicating investor sensitivity to geopolitical risks.
- Surging Oil Prices: The conflict has led to a sharp rise in oil prices, and while defense stocks have also gained, the market's reaction to short-term news may impact long-term investment strategies, necessitating cautious responses from investors.
- Investor Guidance: Prominent investor Steve Eisman advises investors to remain on the sidelines, suggesting that the market's short-term reactions may be overblown and that the situation could improve quickly, potentially leading to a drop in oil prices.
- Defense Investment Opportunities: Given the current situation, investing in defense ETFs like the iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) is seen as a good way to gain exposure to increased defense spending, with individual stocks like Israeli drone maker Elbit Systems (ESLT) also worth considering.
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- Market Volatility Analysis: Since the U.S. and Israel attacked Iran, the S&P 500 has experienced significant volatility, plummeting on Tuesday before nearly recovering losses on Wednesday, indicating the market's sensitivity to geopolitical crises.
- Oil and Defense Stocks Surge: The war has led to soaring oil prices and rising defense stocks, reflecting heightened investor expectations for increased defense spending amid uncertain international conditions.
- Investor Advice: Notable investor Steve Eisman advises investors to remain on the sidelines during the current situation, believing that short-term market reactions should not dictate long-term investment strategies, emphasizing the importance of a long-term perspective.
- Geopolitical Impact: While geopolitical turmoil is common, Eisman points out that the war's impact on the stock market will primarily manifest in specific sectors rather than trigger a global recession, urging investors to focus on industry dynamics rather than short-term news.
See More
- Oil Price Surge: The attack on Iran, a major oil exporter controlling the Strait of Hormuz, has led to a significant spike in oil prices, adding uncertainty to global markets and potentially impacting the profitability of related energy companies.
- Defense Stocks Rise: Following the outbreak of war, defense stocks generally increased, with Ondas Holdings and Elbit Systems rising 10% and 7.66% respectively, reflecting strong market demand for defense technology and investor confidence.
- Ondas Holdings Financial Performance: Ondas reported $10.1 million in revenue for Q3, a sixfold increase year-over-year, and is targeting at least $110 million in revenue by 2026, indicating rapid expansion potential in the defense technology sector.
- Elbit Systems Order Backlog: Elbit's order backlog has risen to $25.2 billion, equivalent to over three years of revenue, suggesting that demand for its products may further increase amid ongoing conflicts in the Middle East, supporting its growth outlook.
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- Defense Stock Rally: Following the U.S. and Israel's strikes on Iran, defense stocks generally surged, with Ondas Holdings and Elbit Systems rising by 10% and 7% respectively, reflecting strong market confidence in the defense sector.
- Ondas Holdings Revenue Surge: Ondas Holdings reported $10.1 million in revenue for Q3, a staggering sixfold increase year-over-year and a 60% sequential rise, with a target of at least $110 million in revenue by 2026, indicating rapid growth in drone technology.
- Elbit Systems Order Backlog Growth: Elbit Systems saw a 12% increase in Q3 revenue to $1.92 billion, with a backlog of $25.2 billion, highlighting a significant rise in demand for defense products amid ongoing Middle Eastern conflicts.
- Market Reaction: Despite an initial drop in U.S. stocks due to the strike news, most losses were recovered later, with gold prices spiking, indicating investor preference for safe-haven assets, which further propelled the rise in defense stocks.
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- Defense Budget Increase: The Israeli government has authorized a 9 billion shekel ($2.9 billion) increase to this year's defense budget to finance the war with Iran, a decision made by Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich and Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, reflecting the urgency and determination regarding national security.
- Budget Deficit Warning: Smotrich indicated that the 2026 budget deficit is expected to exceed the previously planned 3.9% of GDP, which could negatively impact Israel's economic stability, particularly in the context of escalating conflict.
- Rising Domestic Costs: Israel's Tax Authority reported approximately 1,000 property damage claims filed within the first 24 hours of fighting, with 345 residents evacuated due to Iranian missile strikes, highlighting the direct impact of the war on civilian life.
- Supply Chain Adjustments: With Ben Gurion International Airport closed and some international shipping disrupted, Israel is preparing to reroute goods through land border crossings to maintain supply chain stability, aiming to mitigate the economic impact of the ongoing conflict.
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- Military Cooperation Upgrade: Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu and Indian Prime Minister Modi emphasized military collaboration during their meeting in Jerusalem, with India becoming Israel's largest arms buyer, accounting for 34% of exports, which will further solidify their strategic partnership in defense.
- Free Trade Agreement Acceleration: The two governments are accelerating talks toward a free trade agreement aimed at promoting economic cooperation by reducing trade barriers, which is expected to enhance bilateral trade and drive economic growth, reflecting the increasingly close ties between the nations.
- Technological Innovation Collaboration: Netanyahu highlighted that technological innovation is central to their partnership, with both countries committed to cooperation in nuclear energy and space sectors, enhancing their technological capabilities and international competitiveness.
- Regional Strategic Shift: Against the backdrop of Pakistan's mutual defense agreement with Saudi Arabia, the strengthening ties between India and Israel signify a significant shift in India's foreign policy, potentially impacting the broader regional strategic landscape.
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