Impact of US-Iran War on Stock Market
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 7 hours ago
0mins
Should l Buy NVDA?
Source: NASDAQ.COM
- Market Volatility from War: The joint attack by the US and Israel on Iran, resulting in the death of Iran's supreme leader, has heightened concerns about the war's duration and severity, leading to anticipated challenges for the stock market on Monday, particularly for higher-risk stocks.
- Oil Price Surge: Fears that the war could disrupt global oil supplies have driven West Texas Intermediate crude oil futures up 5.5% to $70.73 per barrel, suggesting that oil stocks may benefit in the short term as investors seek safer assets.
- Defense Stocks Benefiting: With NATO countries increasing defense budgets, defense stocks were already attractive before the war, and the Global X Defense Tech ETF has returned 72.8% since last year, indicating strong market confidence in the defense sector.
- Gold and Silver Rise: Amid geopolitical conflicts, gold futures have increased by 2%, as investors may rotate out of higher-risk stocks into safe-haven assets like gold and silver, reflecting market reactions to uncertainty.
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Analyst Views on NVDA
Wall Street analysts forecast NVDA stock price to rise
41 Analyst Rating
39 Buy
1 Hold
1 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 184.890
Low
200.00
Averages
264.97
High
352.00
Current: 184.890
Low
200.00
Averages
264.97
High
352.00
About NVDA
NVIDIA Corporation is a full-stack computing infrastructure company. The Company is engaged in accelerated computing to help solve the challenging computational problems. The Company’s segments include Compute & Networking and Graphics. The Compute & Networking segment includes its Data Center accelerated computing platforms and artificial intelligence (AI) solutions and software; networking; automotive platforms and autonomous and electric vehicle solutions; Jetson for robotics and other embedded platforms, and DGX Cloud computing services. The Graphics segment includes GeForce GPUs for gaming and PCs, the GeForce NOW game streaming service and related infrastructure, and solutions for gaming platforms; Quadro/NVIDIA RTX GPUs for enterprise workstation graphics; virtual GPU software for cloud-based visual and virtual computing; automotive platforms for infotainment systems, and Omniverse Enterprise software for building and operating industrial AI and digital twin applications.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Impact of Dollar Weakness: As the US dollar weakens, investors are increasingly looking at the attractiveness of foreign stocks, with analysts suggesting opportunities outside of Nvidia in the AI sector to diversify investment risks and capture potential gains.
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- Microsoft AI Business Growth: Microsoft shares have declined by 0.2%, yet its AI business momentum and Copilot adoption are propelling productivity and business processes revenue growth, although Azure's growth guidance is projected to decelerate to 37-38%, indicating market demand saturation.
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- GPU Market Dominance: Nvidia's Hopper and Blackwell chips hold a near-monopoly in AI-accelerated data centers, with CEO Jensen Huang aggressively investing to ensure the introduction of new chips annually, thereby maintaining its computational superiority and driving further company growth.
- Sold Meta Shares: After two consecutive quarters of purchases, Loeb sold all 220,000 shares of Meta Platforms (META), likely based on profit-taking, especially after Meta's stock surged over 50% in six months, showcasing Loeb's flexible investment strategy.
- Concerns Over Economic Outlook: Loeb's divestment may also reflect worries about a potential U.S. recession, as nearly 98% of Meta's net sales come from advertising, which is highly cyclical and could impact future profitability.
See More
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- GPU Market Monopoly: Nvidia's Hopper, Blackwell, and Blackwell Ultra chips hold a near-monopoly in AI-accelerated data centers, with ongoing GPU scarcity allowing for gross margins around 70%, suggesting sustained competitive advantages in the market.
- Meta Stock Sell-off: Loeb sold all 220,000 shares of Meta after two quarters of purchases, possibly due to concerns over rising capital expenditures and potential U.S. recession risks, reflecting a strategic pivot in his investment approach.
- AI Investment Risks: Meta's increasing capital expenditures for its AI Superintelligence Lab may pressure earnings growth, and Loeb's sell-off highlights concerns over the cyclical nature of advertising revenue, particularly amid economic uncertainties.
See More
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- Importance of AI-RAN Strategy: At the Mobile World Congress in Barcelona, Super Micro Computer announced its expansion into AI-RAN support, aiming to optimize spectrum and energy by embedding intelligence into telecom networks, thereby enhancing network performance and efficiency to meet operators' demands for greater automation.
- Market Opportunities: As the telecom industry accelerates its demand for AI, sovereign AI platforms provide telecom companies with secure local AI infrastructure as a service, opening new revenue streams in the digital economy and further driving the industry's digital transformation.
- Data Center Solutions: Supermicro's DCBBS solutions are designed for rapid AI data center deployment, with modular architecture and advanced designs significantly enhancing operational efficiency, making them ideal for scaling sovereign AI at the enterprise level.
- Innovative Industry Collaborations: At MWC, Super Micro Computer collaborated with industry leaders to showcase AI acceleration and practical use cases, highlighting its commitment to delivering high-performance, energy-efficient solutions that ensure data sovereignty and long-term scalability.
See More
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- Market Sentiment Analysis: Tom Lee noted on CNBC that while the market sentiment towards AI was overly pessimistic in February, he believes March could bring a turnaround, reflecting an optimistic outlook for the future market.
- Global Impact of AI: Lee emphasized that the U.S. and China could be the main creators and beneficiaries of AI, suggesting that the S&P 500 could benefit, indicating the profound economic implications of AI technology.
- NVIDIA Stock Performance: Despite NVIDIA's strong earnings report, its stock declined by 7.41% over the past five days, which disappointed Lee, who predicts a consolidation and rerating phase for the company's stock price.
- Credit Policy Recommendations: Lee pointed out that private credit issues have persisted for some time and suggested that the Federal Reserve needs to reconsider its interest rate policy to address current market uncertainties, demonstrating concern for the economic outlook.
See More
