HSI Closes 291 Points Lower; Commodity Stocks Decline, While PetroChina Rises 5%
Market Overview: The US-Iran war escalation negatively impacted global stock markets, with the Hong Kong stock market closing lower; the HSI fell by 1.1% to 25,768 points.
Gas and Oil Stocks Performance: KUNLUN ENERGY rose by 1.7%, while SINOPEC CORP dropped by 2.7%. PETROCHINA and CNOOC saw significant gains of 5% and 3.2%, respectively.
Decline in Gold and Lithium Stocks: Gold and silver stocks experienced substantial losses, with companies like SD GOLD and ZHAOJIN MINING falling between 5-6.3%. Lithium stocks also plummeted, with TIANQI LITHIUM and GANFENGLITHIUM down by 8.1% and 10.9%.
Tech Sector Movements: Major tech stocks like TENCENT and BABA-W saw slight declines, while NTES-S gained 1.4%, potentially benefiting from its inclusion in the Southbound Stock Connect.
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Impact of Middle East Situation: JPMorgan reports that disruptions in the Middle East could affect over 20% of the global liquefied natural gas (LNG) supply, leading to increased price volatility and challenging the expectation of a supply surplus into the 2030s.
Short-term Effects on China: The short-term impact on China's gas utilities is expected to be limited, as spot LNG constitutes only about 10% of their total gas resources, which mitigates immediate procurement cost increases.
Cautious Outlook on Gas Sector: If oil and gas prices remain high, procurement costs for pipeline gas and LNG may rise, potentially affecting industrial gas demand, prompting JPMorgan to maintain a cautious stance on the gas sector.
Preferred Stocks: JPMorgan favors KUNLUN ENERGY for its limited exposure to spot LNG risks and has set a target price of HKD9, while also rating ENN ENERGY as Overweight with a target price of HKD72.5 due to its hedging capabilities against rising spot LNG prices.
Market Overview: The US-Iran war escalation negatively impacted global stock markets, with the Hong Kong stock market closing lower; the HSI fell by 1.1% to 25,768 points.
Gas and Oil Stocks Performance: KUNLUN ENERGY rose by 1.7%, while SINOPEC CORP dropped by 2.7%. PETROCHINA and CNOOC saw significant gains of 5% and 3.2%, respectively.
Decline in Gold and Lithium Stocks: Gold and silver stocks experienced substantial losses, with companies like SD GOLD and ZHAOJIN MINING falling between 5-6.3%. Lithium stocks also plummeted, with TIANQI LITHIUM and GANFENGLITHIUM down by 8.1% and 10.9%.
Tech Sector Movements: Major tech stocks like TENCENT and BABA-W saw slight declines, while NTES-S gained 1.4%, potentially benefiting from its inclusion in the Southbound Stock Connect.
Market Performance: The HSI fell 74 points (0.3%) to 25,985, while the HSCEI and HSTECH also experienced declines, with total half-day turnover reaching HKD187.565 billion.
Energy Stocks Movement: KUNLUN ENERGY saw a 3.2% increase, while SINOPEC CORP dipped 1.8%. In contrast, PETROCHINA and CNOOC rallied by 4% and 2.3%, respectively.
Tech Sector Trends: Major tech stocks like TENCENT and BABA-W saw slight gains, while KUAISHOU-W and MEITUAN-W experienced minor declines.
Automotive Sector Decline: BYD COMPANY, XIAOMI-W, and other automotive stocks faced significant losses, with declines ranging from 2.2% to 5.5%.
Stock Performance: Several Hong Kong gas companies experienced declines in share prices, with China Gas Holdings down 1.34% and China Resources Gas down 2.44%.
Short Selling Activity: Notable short selling activity was reported, with China Gas Holdings having a short selling ratio of 26.606% and HK & China Gas at 23.762%.
Analyst Ratings: ENN Energy received an "Overweight" rating with a target price increase from 66.5 to 72.5, while HK & China Gas was downgraded from "Overweight" to "Neutral".
Market Updates: Kunlun Energy saw a slight increase in share price, while Jefferies upgraded HKEX to "Buy" and raised target prices for BEA and BOCHK.

JPMorgan's Cautious Outlook: JPMorgan maintains a cautious view on Chinese gas utilities, predicting disappointing annual results and limited improvement for 2026.
Top Picks and Ratings: KUNLUN ENERGY is rated Overweight with a target price increase to $9, while ENN ENERGY is also rated Overweight due to a significant A/H discount, with target prices raised accordingly.
Downgrade of HK & China Gas: HK & CHINA GAS has been downgraded from Overweight to Neutral, with a slight target price increase reflecting its reasonable valuation after recent price hikes.
Market Context: The report highlights uncertainties in the market, suggesting that investors may consider taking profits on some HK utilities amid concerns over US rate cuts.

Offshore Wind Turbine Procurement: China's offshore wind turbine procurement capacity reached 8.42 gigawatts last year, with MINGYANG SMART ENERGY leading at 2.1 gigawatts and GOLDWIND at 1.2 gigawatts, driven by positive market sentiment.
Stock Recommendations: JPMorgan recommends focusing on companies with strong earnings growth, such as ORIENT WIRES & CABLES, DAQO New Energy, and GCL TECH, while the A-share photovoltaic industry index has outperformed the market.
Energy Storage Growth: China's installed capacity of energy storage systems surged by 73% year-on-year, with SUNGROW POWER expected to benefit from policy reforms and increased demand in high-end markets.
Cautious Outlook on Gas Utilities: JPMorgan maintains a cautious view on China's gas utilities sector due to weak growth and profit margins, with KUNLUN ENERGY identified as a top pick, while CHINA RES GAS faces challenges with slow share buybacks and weak operating trends.







