Alphabet, Citi and 3 More Stock Picks From a Star Value Manager.
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
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Should l Buy COP?
Source: Newsfilter
Bill Nygren's Investment Strategy: Legendary investor Bill Nygren highlights undervalued traditional businesses like General Motors and Citigroup, which have low P/E ratios and are returning significant capital to shareholders, contrasting with the high valuations of mega tech stocks.
Launch of Oakmark U.S. Large-Cap ETF: The new Oakmark U.S. large-cap ETF aims to provide a more accessible investment option while maintaining the same management team and strategy as the Oakmark mutual fund, with a focus on fewer holdings and slightly larger companies.
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Analyst Views on COP
Wall Street analysts forecast COP stock price to fall
19 Analyst Rating
15 Buy
3 Hold
1 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 118.520
Low
98.00
Averages
115.67
High
133.00
Current: 118.520
Low
98.00
Averages
115.67
High
133.00
About COP
ConocoPhillips is an exploration and production company. Its Alaska segment primarily explores for, produces, transports and markets crude oil, natural gas and NGLs. The Lower 48 segment consists of operations located in the 48 contiguous states in the United States and the Gulf of Mexico. Canadian operations consist of the Surmont oil sands development in Alberta, the liquids-rich Montney unconventional play in British Columbia and commercial operations. The Europe, Middle East and North Africa segment consists of operations principally located in the Norwegian sector of the North Sea, the Norwegian Sea, Qatar, Libya, Equatorial Guinea and commercial and terminalling operations in the United Kingdom. Asia Pacific segment has exploration and production operations in China, Malaysia, Australia and commercial operations in China, Singapore and Japan. Other International segment includes interests in Colombia as well as contingencies associated with prior operations in other countries.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Stock Price Surge: ConocoPhillips shares have started 2026 strong, gaining over 20% to surpass $110, primarily driven by rising crude oil prices, indicating market optimism about its future performance.
- Cash Flow Surge: The company expects to generate an additional $1 billion in free cash flow this year, entirely from cost savings, alongside last year's $19.9 billion in operating cash flow, showcasing its strong profitability on a low-cost resource base.
- Repurchase Program: ConocoPhillips repurchased $5 billion of its shares last year and is expected to increase buybacks in 2026, having repurchased nearly 10% of its outstanding shares over the past five years, enhancing the growth potential of free cash flow per share.
- Future Outlook: With major expansion projects nearing completion, free cash flow is projected to nearly double in the coming years, and combined with rising oil prices and the repurchase program, the stock price could reach $200 by the end of the decade, reflecting strong market confidence in its long-term growth.
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- Strong Economic Data: The February ADP employment report revealed an addition of 63,000 jobs, surpassing expectations of 50,000, indicating continued growth in the labor market and boosting investor confidence in economic recovery.
- Service Sector Expansion: The US ISM services index unexpectedly rose to 56.1 in February, significantly better than the anticipated 53.5, reflecting the fastest pace of expansion in 3.5 years and further supporting the stock market rally.
- Oil Price Volatility: Crude oil prices surged over 1% due to the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, despite reports suggesting Iran's willingness to discuss terms for ending the conflict, intensifying market concerns over energy supply.
- Market Performance: The S&P 500 index rose by 0.78%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average increased by 0.49%, and the Nasdaq 100 index climbed by 1.51%, reflecting optimistic expectations regarding economic resilience and corporate earnings.
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- Military Action Background: The U.S. and Israel's strikes on Iran resulted in the killing of Supreme Leader Khamenei, and while the initial phase was successful, experts warn that the conflict may become complicated, affecting public support in the U.S.
- Public Support Survey: A Reuters/IPSOS poll indicates that only one in four Americans supports the attacks on Iran, reflecting public aversion to prolonged military actions, which could influence Trump's policy decisions.
- Unclear Strategic Goals: Initially aimed at destroying Iran's nuclear program, the U.S. objectives have shifted to protecting the American public from unspecified Iranian threats, indicating a lack of clarity in strategic direction.
- Potential for Extended Conflict: Analysts suggest that despite Trump's claim of a four to five-week military operation, the complexity of Iran's security apparatus may prolong the conflict, leading to economic and market instability.
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- Oil Market Response: Jim Cramer noted that the oil market seems to indicate that the war with Iran will not lead to prolonged disruptions in global crude supply, despite major energy stocks like Exxon Mobil and ConocoPhillips falling 1.3% and 2.4%, respectively.
- Price Volatility: Brent crude settled flat after gaining 6.7% and 4.7% on Monday and Tuesday, while West Texas Intermediate crude only rose 0.1%, reflecting a cautious market outlook on future oil prices.
- Stock Market Rally: With expectations of oil market stability, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.5%, the S&P 500 gained 0.8%, and the Nasdaq climbed 1.3%, indicating investor optimism about the economic outlook.
- Tech Stock Performance: Cramer highlighted that Amazon and Nvidia saw stock increases of 3.9% and 1.7%, respectively, while CrowdStrike's 4% gain suggests a potential reassessment of bearish views on AI's impact on the software industry.
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- Stock Transaction Overview: Senator Mullin resumed stock purchases on February 4, 2026, acquiring shares in companies like Adobe, Citigroup, and Carpenter Technology, indicating his ongoing market engagement and investment confidence.
- Defense Stock Investment: His purchase of Carpenter Technology ($CRS), which manufactures alloys for defense contractors, has already seen a 22% increase in value, suggesting that his strategy in the defense sector could yield significant returns.
- Increased Market Scrutiny: Given his position on the Senate Armed Services Committee, Mullin's investment portfolio is under heightened scrutiny, particularly regarding potential conflicts of interest in his investments in defense and oil sectors.
- Historical Trade Review: Mullin previously bought six out of the seven Magnificent Seven stocks on December 29, 2025, reflecting his interest in large-cap tech stocks, although his past violations of the STOCK Act regarding transaction disclosures have raised concerns about his trading transparency.
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- Market Rebound: Asia-Pacific markets opened higher on Thursday after several days of steep losses, with Australia's S&P/ASX 200 rising by 0.63%, indicating improved investor sentiment.
- Strong Japanese Market: Japan's Nikkei 225 futures pointed to a strong open, with the Chicago contract at 56,360, significantly up from the last close of 54,245.54, reflecting optimistic expectations for economic recovery.
- Hong Kong Hang Seng Recovery: Hong Kong's Hang Seng index futures opened at 25,534, higher than the previous day's close of 25,249.48, suggesting a gradual restoration of investor confidence in market prospects.
- Support from U.S. Markets: U.S. stocks rose on Wednesday, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average adding 238.14 points to close at 48,739.41, ending a three-day losing streak, driven by strong performance in technology stocks, particularly in the chip sector.
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