G Sachs Research: Lunar New Year Consumer Trends Indicate Divergence in Offline Business Formats; Box Office Declines by 40%
Lunar New Year Entertainment Trends: Offline entertainment during the Lunar New Year saw a divergence, with tourism consumption increasing by 19% YoY, while the box office dropped to RMB5.7 billion, a 40% YoY decline, attributed to a lack of quality content.
Stock Market Reactions: Recent stock price corrections in companies like Tencent and Kuaishou are noted, with some nearing the low end of their five-year PE ratio ranges, despite expectations for EPS growth in 2026.
Competitive Landscape: Kuaishou and Bilibili are recognized for their strong business foundations and AI potential, while the music and live streaming sectors face heightened competition.
Goldman Sachs Adjustments: Goldman Sachs lowered its expectations for DAMAI ENT due to potential movie losses but anticipates double-digit growth in IP-related merchandise and overall profit margins improving, maintaining a Buy rating with a revised target price.
Trade with 70% Backtested Accuracy
Analyst Views on 00700
About the author


Short Selling Turnover: The short selling turnover in the Hong Kong market reached $65.9 billion, accounting for 22.6% of the eligible securities turnover, slightly down from 22.7% on the previous trading day.
Top Short Selling Shares: The top five shares with the highest short selling amounts include TRACKER FUND (02800.HK) at $10.15 billion, HSCEI ETF (02828.HK) at $4.45 billion, XIAOMI-W (01810.HK) at $3.24 billion, BABA-W (09988.HK) at $2.72 billion, and TENCENT (00700.HK) at $2.39 billion.
Short Selling Ratios: TRACKER FUND has the highest short selling ratio at 59.3%, followed closely by HSCEI ETF at 58.9%, while XIAOMI-W, BABA-W, and TENCENT have ratios of 33.2%, 16.4%, and 16.3% respectively.
Market Performance: The reported changes in share prices for the top shorted stocks include declines for TRACKER FUND, HSCEI ETF, XIAOMI-W, BABA-W, and TENCENT, indicating a bearish sentiment in the market.

Market Performance: The Hang Seng Index (HSI) fell by 570 points (2.1%) to 26,059, while the Hang Seng Tech Index (HSTI) dropped 148 points (2.9%) to 4,989, with a total market turnover of $357.68 billion.
Declining Heavyweights: Major stocks like Xiaomi, Meituan, and Alibaba experienced significant declines, with Xiaomi down 5% and Alibaba down 4.5%, amidst high short selling ratios.
Gainers in the Market: Xinyi Glass and CNOOC were notable gainers, with Xinyi Glass rising 12.4% to a new high, while CNOOC increased by 5.6%.
Volatile Stocks: Several stocks faced sharp declines, including Guofuhee, which plummeted 19.2%, and Dmall, which fell 13.1%, indicating a volatile trading environment.

Short Selling Turnover: The short selling turnover in the Hong Kong market reached $37.9 billion at midday, accounting for 23.7% of the turnover of securities eligible for short selling, an increase from 22.7% on the previous trading day.
Top Short Selling Shares: The top five shares with the highest short selling amounts include CSOP HS TECH, TRACKER FUND, XIAOMI-W, BABA-W, and TENCENT, with CSOP HS TECH leading at $7.8 billion and a short selling ratio of 75.6%.
CSOP HS TECH Performance: CSOP HS TECH (03033.HK) experienced a decline of 2.068%, with a significant short selling turnover of $7.8 billion.
Other Notable Stocks: TRACKER FUND (02800.HK) and XIAOMI-W (01810.HK) also saw considerable short selling, with ratios of 47.9% and 31.5%, respectively, while BABA-W and TENCENT had lower ratios of 14.7% and 13.2%.
Morgan Stanley's Market Strategy: The report highlights new additions to the focus list for Hong Kong and Chinese markets, including GIGADEVICE and SINOPEC CORP, while removing SUNNY OPTICAL and ESPRESSIF.
Stock Performance: Notable stock movements include SINOPEC CORP and CHALCO showing gains, while GIGADEVICE and SUNNY OPTICAL experienced declines, with significant short selling activity reported across various stocks.

Market Performance: The Hang Seng Index (HSI) fell by 420 points (1.6%) to 26,209, while the Hang Seng Tech Index (HSTI) and the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI) also experienced declines of 2.1% and 1.4%, respectively.
Active Heavyweights: Major stocks like Xiaomi, Meituan, and Alibaba saw significant drops, with Xiaomi down 4.6% and Alibaba down 2.7%, amidst high short selling activity.
Notable Movers: Xinyi Glass and CNOOC were standout performers, with Xinyi Glass rising 11.4% to a new high, while several other stocks, including Sunny Optical and HSBC Holdings, faced declines.
Short Selling Trends: The short selling ratios for various stocks were notable, with JD Health and HSBC Holdings showing high short selling activity, indicating bearish sentiment among investors.

Tencent's Game Release: Tencent's multiplayer adventure game, Honor of Kings: World, is set to launch in April, with pre-registration available on Apple iOS.
Game Features: The game is an open-world RPG that supports ray tracing and Nvidia's DLSS 3 technology, with pioneer testing having started on July 24, 2025.



