ETF Outflow Warning: TCAF, BDX, CNP, NI
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Nov 25 2025
0mins
Source: NASDAQ.COM
TCAF Share Price Analysis: TCAF's share price is currently at $38.10, with a 52-week low of $28.28 and a high of $39.34, indicating a relatively stable position within its trading range.
Understanding ETFs: Exchange traded funds (ETFs) function like stocks, where investors buy and sell "units" that can be created or destroyed based on demand, impacting the underlying assets.
Monitoring ETF Flows: Weekly monitoring of shares outstanding helps identify ETFs with significant inflows (new units created) or outflows (units destroyed), which can affect the individual components of the ETFs.
Disclaimer on Views: The opinions expressed in the article are those of the author and do not necessarily represent the views of Nasdaq, Inc.
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Analyst Views on NI
Wall Street analysts forecast NI stock price to rise
8 Analyst Rating
7 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 46.740
Low
41.88
Averages
47.24
High
50.00
Current: 46.740
Low
41.88
Averages
47.24
High
50.00
About NI
NiSource Inc. is an energy holding company. The Company operates through two segments: Columbia Operations and NIPSCO Operations. Columbia Operations segment, through its wholly owned subsidiary NiSource Gas Distribution Group, Inc, provides natural gas to approximately 2.4 million residential, commercial and industrial customers in Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia, Kentucky, and Maryland. It operates approximately 37,200 miles of distribution main pipeline plus the associated individual customer service lines and 330 miles of transmission main pipeline. NIPSCO Operations segment NIPSCO Operations includes NIPSCO Holdings I and its subsidiaries, including NIPSCO, which has fully regulated gas and electric operations in northern Indiana. The Company has six renewable generation facilities in service: Rosewater, Indiana Crossroads Wind, Indiana Crossroads Solar, Dunns Bridge I Solar, Cavalry Solar and Storage and Dunns Bridge II Solar and Storage.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Utilities Sector Decline: As of midday Wednesday, the Utilities sector is down 1.4%, making it the worst-performing sector, primarily dragged down by NiSource Inc. and Public Service Enterprise Group Inc., which fell 2.7% and 2.5% respectively, indicating a lack of market confidence in this industry.
- ETF Performance Analysis: The Utilities Select Sector SPDR ETF, which tracks the sector, is down 1.5% despite a year-to-date increase of 7.04%, highlighting a contradiction between short-term volatility and long-term growth potential, prompting investors to carefully assess risks.
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NiSource Q4 2025 Earnings Call Highlights
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- Financial Performance Exceeds Expectations: The adjusted EPS for 2025 was reported at $1.90, with a FFO to debt ratio of 16.1%, both surpassing guidance, reflecting the company's excellence in capital management and cost control.
- Infrastructure Investment Plan: The company plans to invest approximately $28 billion over the next five years to modernize infrastructure, ensuring safety and reliability while targeting average annual bill increases of less than 5%, demonstrating a commitment to customer affordability.
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NiSource Reports FY Non-GAAP EPS of $1.93 with Strong Revenue Growth
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- Net Income Surge: The net income soared by 98.3% to $255.2 million, demonstrating the company's success in cost control and revenue growth, further solidifying its financial health and stability.
- Adjusted EBITDA Increase: Adjusted EBITDA rose by 36.0% to $395.3 million, representing 18.8% of net sales, indicating significant improvements in profitability and operational efficiency, which are crucial for sustaining growth.
- Margin Improvement: Gross margin and adjusted gross margin increased by 90 and 40 basis points, respectively, reflecting the company's successful cost management and pricing strategies, which enhance its long-term profitability and investment appeal.
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NiSource Reaffirms Q4 Earnings Guidance and Investment Plans
- Earnings Guidance Reaffirmed: NiSource reaffirmed its adjusted earnings guidance for Q4 at $2.02 to $2.07 per share, with analysts expecting an average of $2.05, indicating stable profitability and market confidence.
- Capital Investment Plan: The company plans to invest approximately $28 billion from 2026 to 2030, focusing on utility system modernization and nearly $7 billion in strategic data center infrastructure, aimed at enhancing operational efficiency and service quality.
- Growth Expectations: The anticipated compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for adjusted earnings per share is projected at 8% to 9%, while the consolidated rate base growth is expected to be 9% to 11% from 2026 to 2033, reflecting the company's long-term growth potential.
- Stock Performance: In pre-market trading on Wednesday, NiSource shares traded at $45.59 on the NYSE, up $0.86 or 1.92%, demonstrating a positive market reaction to its financial outlook.
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White House Event: The meeting took place at the White House, highlighting the collaboration between government and tech leaders on energy concerns.
See More
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- AI in Financial Markets: AI is significantly impacting financial markets, providing smaller utilities with advantages over much larger tech companies.
- Investment Opportunities: This technological edge allows investors to capitalize on the unique advantages that these utilities have gained through AI.
See More
Utilities Sector Underperforms with Notable Losses
- Utilities Sector Decline: As of midday Wednesday, the Utilities sector is down 1.4%, making it the worst-performing sector, primarily dragged down by NiSource Inc. and Public Service Enterprise Group Inc., which fell 2.7% and 2.5% respectively, indicating a lack of market confidence in this industry.
- ETF Performance Analysis: The Utilities Select Sector SPDR ETF, which tracks the sector, is down 1.5% despite a year-to-date increase of 7.04%, highlighting a contradiction between short-term volatility and long-term growth potential, prompting investors to carefully assess risks.
- Financial Sector Slight Increase: The Financial sector is up only 0.1%, with Crown Castle Inc. and American Tower Corp. showing declines of 4.7% and 3.2%, respectively, reflecting pressure in this area that may affect investor confidence in financial stocks.
- Overall Market Performance: Despite the poor performance of the Utilities and Financial sectors, eight other sectors are up in Wednesday's trading, indicating that the market still has some resilience, and investors should monitor the dynamic changes across different sectors.
See More
NiSource Q4 2025 Earnings Call Highlights
- Amazon Agreement Impact: NiSource's agreement with Amazon is expected to deliver $1 billion back to NIPSCO customers, translating to an estimated $7 to $9 per customer per month, significantly enhancing customer satisfaction and strengthening market competitiveness.
- Financial Performance Exceeds Expectations: The adjusted EPS for 2025 was reported at $1.90, with a FFO to debt ratio of 16.1%, both surpassing guidance, reflecting the company's excellence in capital management and cost control.
- Infrastructure Investment Plan: The company plans to invest approximately $28 billion over the next five years to modernize infrastructure, ensuring safety and reliability while targeting average annual bill increases of less than 5%, demonstrating a commitment to customer affordability.
- Optimistic Future Outlook: Management reaffirmed the 2026 adjusted EPS guidance of $2.02 to $2.07, with expectations that data center projects will drive an 8% to 9% compound annual growth rate, indicating strong confidence in future growth.
See More
NiSource Reports FY Non-GAAP EPS of $1.93 with Strong Revenue Growth
- Significant Revenue Growth: NiSource reported fiscal year revenue of $2.1 billion, reflecting a robust 17.6% year-over-year increase, which underscores the company's strong demand in the energy market and effective operational strategies, thereby enhancing its competitive position.
- Net Income Surge: The net income soared by 98.3% to $255.2 million, demonstrating the company's success in cost control and revenue growth, further solidifying its financial health and stability.
- Adjusted EBITDA Increase: Adjusted EBITDA rose by 36.0% to $395.3 million, representing 18.8% of net sales, indicating significant improvements in profitability and operational efficiency, which are crucial for sustaining growth.
- Margin Improvement: Gross margin and adjusted gross margin increased by 90 and 40 basis points, respectively, reflecting the company's successful cost management and pricing strategies, which enhance its long-term profitability and investment appeal.
See More
NiSource Reaffirms Q4 Earnings Guidance and Investment Plans
- Earnings Guidance Reaffirmed: NiSource reaffirmed its adjusted earnings guidance for Q4 at $2.02 to $2.07 per share, with analysts expecting an average of $2.05, indicating stable profitability and market confidence.
- Capital Investment Plan: The company plans to invest approximately $28 billion from 2026 to 2030, focusing on utility system modernization and nearly $7 billion in strategic data center infrastructure, aimed at enhancing operational efficiency and service quality.
- Growth Expectations: The anticipated compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for adjusted earnings per share is projected at 8% to 9%, while the consolidated rate base growth is expected to be 9% to 11% from 2026 to 2033, reflecting the company's long-term growth potential.
- Stock Performance: In pre-market trading on Wednesday, NiSource shares traded at $45.59 on the NYSE, up $0.86 or 1.92%, demonstrating a positive market reaction to its financial outlook.
See More
