Dow Reports Mixed Results for Q3
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Oct 23 2025
0mins
Should l Buy DOW?
Source: SeekingAlpha
Earnings Performance: Dow reported a Q3 Non-GAAP EPS of -$0.19, beating expectations by $0.11, while revenue of $10 billion fell short by $230 million, marking an 8.1% year-over-year decline.
Volume Trends: Overall volume decreased by 1% year-over-year, with declines in EMEAI regions offset by gains in the U.S., Canada, and Asia Pacific; however, there was a sequential increase of 1% due to new assets in the U.S. Gulf Coast.
Price Changes: Local prices dropped 8% compared to the previous year and 3% sequentially, impacting revenue from Packaging & Specialty Plastics.
Market Outlook: Despite a significant 56% drop in stock value, analysts suggest Dow is positioned for a potential rebound, with ongoing discussions about the company's ability to navigate current market challenges.
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Analyst Views on DOW
Wall Street analysts forecast DOW stock price to fall
14 Analyst Rating
1 Buy
12 Hold
1 Sell
Hold
Current: 30.740
Low
22.00
Averages
27.83
High
32.00
Current: 30.740
Low
22.00
Averages
27.83
High
32.00
About DOW
Dow Inc. serves as a holding company for The Dow Chemical Company and its subsidiaries. The Company conducts its operations through six global businesses, which are organized into segments, such as Packaging & Specialty Plastics, Industrial Intermediates & Infrastructure and Performance Materials & Coatings. Packaging & Specialty Plastics segment consists of two integrated global businesses: Hydrocarbons & Energy and Packaging and Specialty Plastics. This segment employs a polyolefin product portfolio. Industrial Intermediates & Infrastructure segment consists of two customer-centric global businesses: Industrial Solutions and Polyurethanes & Construction Chemicals that develop intermediate chemicals that are essential to manufacturing processes, as well as downstream, customized materials and formulations that use advanced development technologies. Performance Materials & Coatings segment consists of two global businesses: Coatings & Performance Monomers and Consumer Solutions.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Broadcom Earnings Anticipation: Broadcom shares rose 2% as investors await its fiscal first-quarter earnings report, with analysts projecting earnings of $2.03 per share and revenue of $19.18 billion, indicating strong market confidence in its performance.
- Dow Inc Upgrade Impact: Dow Inc's stock increased by 4% after KeyBanc upgraded its rating from sector weight to overweight, citing that rising oil prices will benefit U.S. ethylene producers, reflecting optimistic market expectations for its profitability.
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- Strong Economic Data: The February ADP employment report revealed an addition of 63,000 jobs, surpassing expectations of 50,000, indicating continued growth in the labor market and bolstering investor confidence in economic recovery.
- Service Sector Expansion: The US services index unexpectedly rose to 56.1, marking the fastest expansion in 3.5 years, while service price pressures fell to an 11-month low, demonstrating economic resilience that could further drive stock market gains.
- International Situation Impact: Reports of Iran making indirect contact with the US to negotiate an end to the war boosted market sentiment, although Iranian media denied the claims, the hope for an early resolution to the conflict remains.
- Oil Price Volatility: Despite crude oil prices being affected by the Iranian drone attack and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz leading to production cuts in Iraq, the market estimates a risk premium of $18 per barrel, reflecting heightened concerns over energy supply.
See More
US Stocks Fluctuate Slightly Amid Oil Price Pressures
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- Employment Data Impact: The February ADP employment report indicated an increase of 63,000 jobs, surpassing expectations of 50,000, suggesting a resilient labor market that may support the stock market, while also raising concerns about Federal Reserve policy direction.
- Oil Price Fluctuations: Crude oil prices fell by over 1% after Iran proposed discussions with the US to end the conflict, compounded by Treasury Secretary's comments on potential 15% tariffs on imports, adding to market uncertainty.
- Economic Outlook: This week, the market will focus on US-Iran war news, corporate earnings, and economic data, with expectations for a slight decline in the February ISM services index and an increase of 3,000 in initial unemployment claims to 215,000, highlighting the complexities of economic recovery.
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- Rating Upgrades: KeyBanc upgraded Dow (DOW) and LyondellBasell (LYB) to Overweight, with 2026 EBITDA estimates raised to $4.09 billion and $3.78 billion respectively, reflecting their strong positioning in the ethylene and polyethylene markets.
- Rising Energy Costs: Recent sharp increases in crude oil prices are driving up the global ethylene cost curve, benefiting U.S. producers reliant on natural gas feedstocks, while shipping costs are also rising due to war-related insurance premiums and supply chain disruptions, further tightening petrochemical supply.
- Stable Demand Outlook: Despite rising prices, KeyBanc does not anticipate a sharp decline in petrochemical demand, as many applications, such as packaging, are considered essential and relatively insensitive to price increases, with market dynamics driven more by supply constraints than demand growth.
See More
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Market Impact: The adjustment in sector weight indicates a shift in investor confidence and market dynamics.
See More
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- Apple's New Product Launch: Oppenheimer reiterates Apple as Perform, highlighting the new MacBook Pro lines powered by M5 Pro and M5 Max chips, which signify a new era of local AI computing and reinforce Apple's significant lead in efficiency and scalability in personal computing devices.
- PulteGroup and Toll Brothers Ratings: Truist initiates PulteGroup and Toll Brothers with Buy ratings, setting a price target of $170, as they believe the market is significantly undervaluing both companies' profitability potential, especially in the context of a recovering luxury housing market.
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