Daily Update on VTI ETF – November 24, 2025
VTI Performance Overview: The Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF (VTI) is down 1.74% over the past week but has increased by 13% year-to-date, with a slight gain of 0.21% in pre-market trading on Monday.
Market Context: U.S. stocks, including the Nasdaq Composite and S&P 500, closed higher on Friday, recovering from a previous tech-led selloff, with VTI's trading volume averaging 4.06 million shares over three months.
Technical Analysis and Ratings: VTI has a Neutral rating overall but a Sell signal based on moving averages, currently trading at $323.80, below its 50-day moving average of $327.30.
Analyst Consensus and Holdings: VTI is rated as a Moderate Buy by analysts, with a price target of $392.91 suggesting a 21.3% upside, while it holds 3,488 stocks with varying potential for upside and downside.
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- Strong Earnings Report: Apple reported a 16% year-over-year revenue increase in Q1 2026, reaching $123 billion, primarily driven by robust demand for the iPhone 17 series, underscoring its sustained leadership in the smartphone market.
- Surge in iPhone Revenue: iPhone revenue hit $85.3 billion, up 23% year-over-year, reflecting consumer enthusiasm for new products and further solidifying Apple's profit margins, with a net income margin of 29%.
- Growth Slowdown Warning: Despite a 11.1% annual growth in earnings per share over the past five years, analysts project a slowdown to 11.6% growth over the next three years, indicating that Apple's high-growth phase may be over, prompting investors to carefully assess future return potential.
- Valuation Considerations: With a current price-to-earnings ratio of 34.7, Apple's high-quality business may not present a compelling buying opportunity at this valuation, especially in light of Berkshire Hathaway's reduction in its Apple holdings, raising concerns about market confidence in its future performance.
- New Model Launch: Apple Inc. unveiled the iPhone 17e on Monday, a more affordable model that combines exceptional performance with advanced features, likely appealing to budget-conscious consumers.
- Pre-order and Release Dates: The iPhone 17e will be available for pre-order starting March 4 and will hit stores on March 11, further expanding Apple's product lineup in the smartphone market.
- Enhanced Technical Specifications: The new model features the A19 chip and C1X modem, providing faster processing speeds, improved connectivity, and better battery efficiency, aimed at enhancing user experience and strengthening market competitiveness.
- Camera and Satellite Features: The iPhone 17e includes a 48MP Fusion camera and optical-quality 2x telephoto lens, while also supporting Apple's satellite features such as Emergency SOS and Roadside Assistance, ensuring users remain connected even in areas without cellular coverage.
- Investor Focus on AI: In recent years, investors have increasingly turned their attention to the Magnificent Seven tech stocks, which are seen as stable investments despite facing challenges, due to their high growth potential in the artificial intelligence (AI) sector.
- Valuation Advantage of Meta: Meta Platforms (NASDAQ: META) currently trades at a forward P/E ratio of only 21, making it the cheapest stock among the Magnificent Seven, attracting investors looking to capitalize on AI opportunities.
- Advertising Revenue Potential: Meta is developing its own large language model and expanding data centers, initiatives that are expected to enhance its advertising business and drive revenue growth, further solidifying its position in the AI landscape.
- Long-Term Growth Outlook: Although Meta did not make the Motley Fool analyst's list of top stocks, its solid revenue base and AI research capabilities make it a noteworthy investment, with potential for new revenue streams in the future.
- Revenue Growth Expectations: Gene Munster of Deepwater Asset Management indicates that the launch of the iPhone 17e and iPad Air is expected to elevate Apple Inc.'s (NASDAQ:AAPL) revenue growth for the June quarter from an initial forecast of 7% to 9%, defying market expectations of a revenue slump.
- Pricing Strategy: The new iPhone 17e and iPad Air offer double the storage while maintaining a $599 entry-level price, demonstrating Apple's effective management of memory cost pressures, even if it may impact profit margins.
- Sales Drivers: The iPhone 17e typically accounts for 15-20% of annual iPhone sales and is projected to boost June quarter iPhone revenue by around 2%, while a 15% increase in iPad Air sales could contribute approximately 1% to overall revenue.
- Performance Enhancements: The new iPad Air features 12GB of unified memory and the M4 chip, making it 30% faster than the M3, with upcoming products including a MacBook Pro with M5 Pro and M5 Max chips, further expanding Apple's product lineup.
- Escalation of Conflict: The Israeli Air Force launched simultaneous attacks on Tehran and Beirut on Tuesday, following Hezbollah's announcement of joining the war and firing missiles into northern Israel, indicating a significant deterioration in regional stability that could lead to a broader Middle Eastern war.
- U.S. Base Attacked: Iran's Revolutionary Guard claimed responsibility for attacking a U.S. base in Bahrain, destroying its main command headquarters, which exacerbates military tensions for the U.S. in the region and may impact its strategic deployments.
- Surge in Oil Prices: Crude oil prices soared on Tuesday due to the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, with WTI crude futures rising 7% to $76.14 per barrel and Brent crude futures also up 7% to $83.13 per barrel, reflecting market sensitivity to geopolitical risks.
- Market Sentiment Turns Bearish: Following the new strikes by Israel and the U.S. on Iran, S&P 500 futures fell 1.7%, Dow futures declined 1.6%, and Nasdaq futures dropped 1.7%, indicating investor anxiety about future market conditions, particularly as retail sentiment towards SPY and QQQ ETFs shifted into bearish territory.
- Major Investment: Nvidia has announced a $4 billion investment in optical networking companies to support R&D and future capacity expansion for AI infrastructure, demonstrating its strong commitment to the AI sector.
- Partnership Agreements: The agreements with Lumentum and Coherent include multibillion-dollar purchase commitments, ensuring supply for future laser and optical networking components, which reduces expansion risks and enhances data transfer efficiency in data centers.
- 6G Strategic Initiative: Nvidia is partnering with telecom and technology firms to advance AI-native 6G network designs, planning to build future wireless systems around software-based architectures that enhance network intelligence and update capabilities.
- Market Reaction: Despite Nvidia's strong earnings failing to prevent declines in semiconductor and tech stocks, shares of Lumentum and Coherent rose significantly, with Lumentum climbing 11% and Coherent reaching a record high following the announcement.









