Citi Increases Valuation Multiple for XINYI GLASS (00868.HK) Auto Glass Division, Adjusts Target Price to $9.01
Revenue Forecast Adjustment: Citi Research has reduced its revenue forecasts for XINYI GLASS for 2025-2027 by 5% and gross margin forecasts by 1.3-2.8 percentage points, now estimating a gross margin of 28.5-30.2%.
Valuation Increase: Despite the forecast cuts, Citi raised the valuation multiple for XINYI GLASS' core glass business to a projected 2026 PE ratio of 10x and increased the target price from $7.55 to $9.01.
Cautious Outlook: The broker maintains a Neutral rating on XINYI GLASS, expressing caution regarding the company's short- to medium-term outlook due to ongoing economic and property market weaknesses.
Short Selling Data: The article includes short selling data for XINYI GLASS and related companies, indicating significant short selling activity in the market.
Trade with 70% Backtested Accuracy
Analyst Views on 00868
About the author


Market Performance: The Hang Seng Index (HSI) fell by 518 points (2.0%) to close at 25,249, while the Hang Seng Tech Index (HSTI) and the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI) also experienced declines.
Active Heavyweights: Major stocks like Alibaba, Ping An, and Tencent saw significant drops, with Alibaba closing down 3.6% and Ping An down 2.2%, while Xiaomi was an exception, gaining 1.3%.
Notable Movers: Chinahongqiao surged by 6.0%, while AIA and Wuxi Biologics dropped by 4.7% and 4.6%, respectively, indicating mixed performance among HSI and HSCEI constituents.
Short Selling Trends: High short selling ratios were observed in several stocks, with HSBC and HKEX showing notable short selling activity, reflecting market sentiment and investor strategies.

Company Forecasts: XINYI GLASS anticipates high single-digit year-over-year growth in automotive glass revenue by 2026, with float glass sales also expected to increase amid industry consolidation.
Target Price Adjustment: Citi has raised its target price for XINYI GLASS from HKD9.01 to HKD11.7, while maintaining a Neutral rating due to concerns over the ongoing weakness in the real estate market affecting recovery prospects.

Market Performance: The Hang Seng Index (HSI) fell by 291 points (1.1%) to close at 25,768, with a total market turnover of $370.55 billion.
Active Heavyweights: Major stocks like Xiaomi, Meituan, and Alibaba experienced declines, with Xiaomi dropping 4.7% and Meituan down 2.3%.
Notable Movers: Xinyi Solar and Zijin Mining saw significant losses, with Xinyi Solar down 6.3% and Zijin Mining down 6.1%, while ENN Energy and PetroChina gained 5.1% and 5%, respectively.
Short Selling Trends: High short selling ratios were observed in several stocks, including Ping An at 27% and BYD Electronic at 28.6%, indicating increased bearish sentiment among investors.

XINYI GLASS 2025 Results: XINYI GLASS reported a profit of RMB2.73 billion for 2025, a 19% decline year-over-year, attributed to reduced property completions in China and lower float glass prices.
Auto Glass Business Performance: Despite the overall decline, the auto glass segment saw an 8.8% increase in revenue, benefiting from cost reductions in energy and materials, which helped maintain profitability.
HSBC Global Research Outlook: HSBC raised its target price for XINYI GLASS from $7.7 to $9.8, maintaining a "Hold" rating, citing the company's cost advantages and strong auto glass business as factors for potential outperformance against peers.
Short Selling Activity: XINYI GLASS experienced significant short selling activity, with a ratio of 33.246% and a total of $67.69 million in short sales reported.

Market Performance: The Hang Seng Index (HSI) fell by 570 points (2.1%) to 26,059, while the Hang Seng Tech Index (HSTI) dropped 148 points (2.9%) to 4,989, with a total market turnover of $357.68 billion.
Declining Heavyweights: Major stocks like Xiaomi, Meituan, and Alibaba experienced significant declines, with Xiaomi down 5% and Alibaba down 4.5%, amidst high short selling ratios.
Gainers in the Market: Xinyi Glass and CNOOC were notable gainers, with Xinyi Glass rising 12.4% to a new high, while CNOOC increased by 5.6%.
Volatile Stocks: Several stocks faced sharp declines, including Guofuhee, which plummeted 19.2%, and Dmall, which fell 13.1%, indicating a volatile trading environment.

Market Performance: The Hang Seng Index (HSI) fell by 420 points (1.6%) to 26,209, while the Hang Seng Tech Index (HSTI) and the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI) also experienced declines of 2.1% and 1.4%, respectively.
Active Heavyweights: Major stocks like Xiaomi, Meituan, and Alibaba saw significant drops, with Xiaomi down 4.6% and Alibaba down 2.7%, amidst high short selling activity.
Notable Movers: Xinyi Glass and CNOOC were standout performers, with Xinyi Glass rising 11.4% to a new high, while several other stocks, including Sunny Optical and HSBC Holdings, faced declines.
Short Selling Trends: The short selling ratios for various stocks were notable, with JD Health and HSBC Holdings showing high short selling activity, indicating bearish sentiment among investors.


