Caution Advised Before Purchasing Dana Incorporated (NYSE:DAN) Ahead of Ex-Dividend Date
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Nov 02 2025
0mins
Should l Buy DAN?
Source: Yahoo Finance
Ex-Dividend Date: Dana Incorporated's stock will trade ex-dividend on November 7, meaning investors purchasing shares after this date will not receive the upcoming dividend of $0.10 per share, which will be paid on November 28.
Dividend Sustainability: The company's dividend is currently covered by both profit and cash flow, with a payout ratio of 87% of profits and 78% of free cash flow, suggesting that while the dividend is sustainable for now, future growth may be limited due to declining earnings.
Earnings Decline: Dana has experienced a significant 19% annual decline in earnings over the past five years, raising concerns about the future sustainability of its dividend and the potential for cuts if earnings continue to fall.
Investment Consideration: While Dana's dividend appears sustainable, the combination of shrinking earnings and high payout ratios makes it less attractive for long-term buy-and-hold investors, and potential buyers should be aware of the associated risks.
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Analyst Views on DAN
Wall Street analysts forecast DAN stock price to fall
5 Analyst Rating
4 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 33.670
Low
24.00
Averages
26.60
High
28.00
Current: 33.670
Low
24.00
Averages
26.60
High
28.00
About DAN
Dana Incorporated specializes in designing and manufacturing propulsion and energy-management solutions that power vehicles and machines in all mobility markets across the globe. The Company is providing solutions for on-highway vehicles. The Company's technologies include drive systems (axles, driveshafts and transmissions); electrodynamic technologies (motors, inverters, software and control systems, battery-management systems, and fuel cell plates); sealing solutions (gaskets, seals, cam covers, and oil pan modules); thermal-management technologies (transmission and engine oil cooling, battery and electronics cooling, charge air cooling, and thermal-acoustical protective shielding), and digital solutions (active and passive system controls and descriptive and predictive analytics). The Company serves its global light vehicle and medium/heavy vehicle markets through two business units: Light Vehicle Systems and Commercial Vehicle Systems.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Margin Improvement: The company anticipates adjusted EBITDA margins of 14% to 15%, driven by higher-margin new business, operational efficiencies, and structural cost actions, resulting in nearly 400 basis points of improvement that will enhance profitability.
- Cash Flow Targets: Dana has set a target of approximately 6% for adjusted free cash flow margin, a ~200 basis point improvement, indicating ongoing optimization in capital allocation and cash flow management.
- Share Repurchase Plan: The company plans to execute up to $2 billion in cumulative share repurchases by 2030, building on the $750 million already completed, demonstrating a commitment to shareholder returns and confidence in future growth.
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- Leadership Confidence: Incoming CEO Byron Foster emphasized that the Dana 2030 strategy reflects the company's confidence in its core businesses and aims to leverage growth opportunities in light vehicles, commercial vehicles, and adjacent markets.
- Event Details: The event will take place in New York City from 9:00 a.m. to 12:00 p.m. EDT, with registration required for both in-person and virtual attendance, ensuring limited space for participants and a live webcast available for broader access.
- Company Overview: Dana reported sales of $7.5 billion in 2025 and is committed to providing efficient propulsion solutions for light and commercial vehicle markets, employing 27,000 people across 24 countries, showcasing its extensive global operations and influence.
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- Capital Return Plan: Management announced an increase in the share repurchase program to $2 billion and a 20% increase in the quarterly dividend to $0.12 per share, aimed at enhancing shareholder returns and boosting market confidence, indicating strong confidence in future cash flows.
- Optimistic Market Outlook: The company expects 2026 revenue to reach approximately $7.5 billion, with adjusted EBITDA projected at $800 million, an increase of about $200 million compared to 2025, showcasing ongoing growth potential in traditional ICE and hybrid markets.
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Dana (DAN) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript
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- Adjusted EBITDA Growth: The adjusted EBITDA for 2025 reached $610 million, significantly up from $395 million in 2024, primarily driven by cost-saving initiatives and efficiency improvements, reflecting ongoing enhancements in profitability.
- 2026 Financial Outlook: Dana anticipates sales for 2026 to range between $7.3 billion and $7.7 billion, with adjusted EBITDA projected at $750 million to $850 million, indicating strong confidence in future growth while continuing to execute a $325 million cost-reduction initiative.
- Long-term Strategic Goals: Under its Dana 2030 strategy, the company aims to achieve approximately $10 billion in sales by 2030, with adjusted EBITDA margins expected to reach 14% to 15%, representing a 45% improvement over 2026 targets, underscoring its commitment to delivering long-term shareholder value.
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- Asset Allocation Shift: This acquisition now represents 8.06% of Brightline's 13F reportable assets, placing Ecovyst alongside concentrated investments like CSTM and DAN, which signals management's focus on the company's profitability and strategic positioning.
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- 2030 Strategic Goals: Dana aims to achieve approximately $10 billion in annual sales by 2030, representing a significant increase from expected 2026 sales, reflecting the company's strong confidence and growth potential in future markets.
- Margin Improvement: The company anticipates adjusted EBITDA margins of 14% to 15%, driven by higher-margin new business, operational efficiencies, and structural cost actions, resulting in nearly 400 basis points of improvement that will enhance profitability.
- Cash Flow Targets: Dana has set a target of approximately 6% for adjusted free cash flow margin, a ~200 basis point improvement, indicating ongoing optimization in capital allocation and cash flow management.
- Share Repurchase Plan: The company plans to execute up to $2 billion in cumulative share repurchases by 2030, building on the $750 million already completed, demonstrating a commitment to shareholder returns and confidence in future growth.
See More
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- Long-Term Strategy Announcement: Dana Incorporated will outline its Dana 2030 long-term value creation strategy during the Capital Markets Day on March 25, aiming to accelerate growth and enhance sales and margins through controlled cost structure and execution.
- Leadership Confidence: Incoming CEO Byron Foster emphasized that the Dana 2030 strategy reflects the company's confidence in its core businesses and aims to leverage growth opportunities in light vehicles, commercial vehicles, and adjacent markets.
- Event Details: The event will take place in New York City from 9:00 a.m. to 12:00 p.m. EDT, with registration required for both in-person and virtual attendance, ensuring limited space for participants and a live webcast available for broader access.
- Company Overview: Dana reported sales of $7.5 billion in 2025 and is committed to providing efficient propulsion solutions for light and commercial vehicle markets, employing 27,000 people across 24 countries, showcasing its extensive global operations and influence.
See More
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- Strong Financial Performance: Dana Incorporated reported Q4 2025 sales of $1.867 billion, an increase of $93 million year-over-year, with adjusted EBITDA of $208 million resulting in an 11.1% margin, reflecting a significant 640 basis point improvement in profitability.
- Capital Return Plan: Management announced an increase in the share repurchase program to $2 billion and a 20% increase in the quarterly dividend to $0.12 per share, aimed at enhancing shareholder returns and boosting market confidence, indicating strong confidence in future cash flows.
- Optimistic Market Outlook: The company expects 2026 revenue to reach approximately $7.5 billion, with adjusted EBITDA projected at $800 million, an increase of about $200 million compared to 2025, showcasing ongoing growth potential in traditional ICE and hybrid markets.
- Clear Long-Term Goals: Management set a target of nearly $10 billion in sales by 2030, with expected EBITDA margins increasing to 14%-15%, planning to achieve this through accelerated cost reductions and new business pursuits, demonstrating firm confidence in future growth.
See More
Dana (DAN) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript
See More
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- 2025 Sales Performance: Dana Incorporated reported sales of $7.5 billion for 2025, a slight decline from $7.734 billion in 2024, yet customer recovery and currency translation mitigated the impact of lower market demand, showcasing the company's resilience in challenging conditions.
- Adjusted EBITDA Growth: The adjusted EBITDA for 2025 reached $610 million, significantly up from $395 million in 2024, primarily driven by cost-saving initiatives and efficiency improvements, reflecting ongoing enhancements in profitability.
- 2026 Financial Outlook: Dana anticipates sales for 2026 to range between $7.3 billion and $7.7 billion, with adjusted EBITDA projected at $750 million to $850 million, indicating strong confidence in future growth while continuing to execute a $325 million cost-reduction initiative.
- Long-term Strategic Goals: Under its Dana 2030 strategy, the company aims to achieve approximately $10 billion in sales by 2030, with adjusted EBITDA margins expected to reach 14% to 15%, representing a 45% improvement over 2026 targets, underscoring its commitment to delivering long-term shareholder value.
See More
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- Asset Allocation Shift: This acquisition now represents 8.06% of Brightline's 13F reportable assets, placing Ecovyst alongside concentrated investments like CSTM and DAN, which signals management's focus on the company's profitability and strategic positioning.
- Significant Performance Growth: In Q3, Ecovyst reported $204.9 million in sales, a 33% year-over-year increase, with an adjusted EBITDA of $57.5 million and a 28.1% margin, showcasing its robust performance in specialty catalysts and sulfuric acid recycling services.
- Capital Structure Optimization: Ecovyst plans to divest its Advanced Materials and Catalysts segment for $556 million, with expected net proceeds of about $530 million, which will lower its leverage ratio to below 1.5x, enhancing financial stability and setting the stage for future growth.
See More
