Castle Biosciences Sees 2026 Revenue of $340M-$350M
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 5 days ago
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Should l Buy CSTL?
Castle Biosciences sees 2026 revenue $340M-$350M, consensus $333.84M
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Analyst Views on CSTL
Wall Street analysts forecast CSTL stock price to rise
5 Analyst Rating
5 Buy
0 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 27.990
Low
41.00
Averages
47.20
High
52.00
Current: 27.990
Low
41.00
Averages
47.20
High
52.00
About CSTL
Castle Biosciences, Inc. is a molecular diagnostics company offering test solutions to aid clinicians in the diagnosis and treatment of dermatologic cancers, Barrett’s esophagus (BE), uveal melanoma (UM), and in the treatment of mental health conditions. The Company offers five commercially available proprietary multi-analyte assays with algorithmic analysis (MAAA) tests for use in the fields of dermatology, gastroenterology and ophthalmology. It also offers a proprietary pharmacogenomic (PGx) test to guide optimal drug treatment for patients diagnosed with depression, anxiety and other mental health conditions. Its products include DecisionDx-Melanoma, DecisionDx-SCC, MyPath Melanoma, TissueCypher, IDgenetix, and DecisionDx-UM. DecisionDx-SCC is its proprietary gene expression profile (GEP) test for use in patients with cutaneous squamous cell carcinoma (SCC). It also focused on chronic acid reflux related diseases, including esophageal cancer.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- New Headquarters Opening: Castle Biosciences will host a grand opening celebration for its new headquarters on March 24, 2026, marking the completion of its investment in Friendswood, with local and national officials expected to attend, highlighting the company's commitment to the community.
- Facility Features: The new 23-acre headquarters includes modern, flexible workspaces and advanced technology infrastructure designed to support the company's ongoing growth and innovation, enhancing employee experience and collaboration.
- Sustainability Focus: The building incorporates energy-efficient systems and storm-rated design elements to enhance sustainability and resilience, reflecting the company's commitment to environmental responsibility while providing amenities like a fitness center and outdoor collaboration spaces for employees.
- Community Engagement: As one of the largest publicly traded companies in Galveston County with $344 million in revenue in 2025, Castle Biosciences has a long history of supporting the Friendswood community, dedicated to improving patient lives and fostering local development.
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- Significant Revenue Growth: Castle Biosciences reported fourth-quarter revenue of $87 million and full-year revenue of $344.2 million, exceeding expectations and demonstrating sustained strong performance across core revenue drivers.
- Surge in Test Report Volume: The total test report volume from core revenue drivers increased by 37% to 105,053, with TissueCypher test report volume growing by 86%, indicating the company's strengthening competitive position in the market.
- Successful Product Launch: The AdvanceAD-Tx test saw over half of the initial 150 dermatological accounts placing orders within the first five weeks of clinical availability, with early results exceeding expectations, suggesting strong future market potential.
- Optimistic Future Outlook: Management guided total revenue for 2026 to be between $340 million and $350 million, primarily driven by continued growth in TissueCypher, reflecting the company's confidence and strategic planning for future market opportunities.
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- Earnings Announcement Schedule: Castle Biosciences (CSTL) is set to announce its Q4 2023 earnings on February 26 after market close, with investors keenly awaiting the results to gauge the company's future growth potential.
- Earnings Expectations: The consensus EPS estimate stands at -$0.26, reflecting a significant year-over-year decline of 181.3%, indicating potential profitability challenges that may affect investor sentiment.
- Revenue Forecast Changes: The revenue estimate is projected at $80.31 million, down 6.9% year-over-year; however, the company has surpassed revenue estimates 100% of the time over the past year, showcasing its resilience in the market.
- Estimate Revision Trends: Over the last three months, EPS estimates have seen four upward revisions and no downward adjustments, while revenue estimates experienced five upward revisions and one downward, suggesting analysts' growing confidence in the company's future performance.
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- Clinical Validation Study: Castle Biosciences published a prospective multicenter clinical validation study in the Journal of the American Academy of Dermatology, demonstrating that the AdvanceAD-Tx test can identify moderate-to-severe atopic dermatitis patients who are more likely to achieve faster clinical responses when treated with JAK inhibitors, highlighting the test's significance in personalized treatment.
- Significant Efficacy Improvement: The study found that approximately 30% of patients treated with JAK inhibitors were identified as JAK Inhibitor Responders, with these patients being 5.5 times more likely to achieve at least 90% improvement in the Eczema Area and Severity Index (EASI-90) within three months compared to those treated with Th2-targeted therapies, indicating a substantial enhancement in treatment outcomes.
- Quality of Life Enhancement: Among JAK Inhibitor Responders, 45.5% reported
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- Complete Exit: On February 2, 2026, AIGH Capital Management LLC reported a full exit from its Lumen Technologies stake, selling 2.55 million shares for an estimated $15.61 million, indicating potential concerns about Lumen's future amidst ongoing transformation challenges.
- Stock Performance: As of February 1, 2026, Lumen's stock was priced at $8.82, reflecting a 78.5% increase over the past year, significantly outperforming the S&P 500 by 64.2 percentage points, suggesting market optimism about its strategic pivot despite underlying debt issues.
- Strategic Business Shift: Following the $5.75 billion sale of its mass market fiber business to AT&T, Lumen aims to reinvest in new infrastructure, although the costly nature of this transformation raises questions about its long-term profitability and market positioning.
- Debt Burden Concerns: With over $17.6 billion in long-term debt reported in Q3 2025, Lumen faces significant financial challenges, and while the divestiture may alleviate some pressure, the company's ongoing transformation could complicate its recovery and stock performance outlook.
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- Significant Revenue Growth: Castle Biosciences anticipates total revenue for 2025 to exceed $340 million, surpassing the previously guided range of $327-335 million, reflecting strong performance in its innovative test portfolio and bolstering confidence in future growth.
- Surge in Core Test Reports: Total test reports for core revenue drivers increased by 37% in 2025 compared to 2024, with DecisionDx-Melanoma reports reaching 39,083 and TissueCypher reports at 39,014, indicating a robust recovery in market demand.
- Successful New Test Launch: The limited access launch of AdvanceAD-Tx in November 2025 saw over 50% of 150 clinician offices placing orders within the first five weeks, demonstrating rapid market acceptance and further expanding the company's total addressable market.
- Strong Financial Position: Year-end 2025 cash and cash equivalents are expected to be approximately $300 million, alongside $184 million in marketable investment securities, showcasing a solid financial foundation that provides ample funding for future expansion and innovation.
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