Guggenheim Affirms Buy Rating for Target, Keeps $115 Price Target Intact
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Aug 21 2025
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Should l Buy TGT?
Source: Benzinga
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Analyst Views on TGT
Wall Street analysts forecast TGT stock price to fall
26 Analyst Rating
8 Buy
14 Hold
4 Sell
Hold
Current: 113.790
Low
80.00
Averages
98.83
High
126.00
Current: 113.790
Low
80.00
Averages
98.83
High
126.00
About TGT
Target Corporation is a general merchandise retailer selling products to its guests through its stores and digital channels. The Company offers customers, referred to as guests, everyday essentials and fashionable, differentiated merchandise at discounted prices. The majority of its stores offer a wide assortment of general merchandise and food. Its merchandise categories include apparel and accessories, beauty and household essentials, food and beverage, hardlines, and home furnishings and decor. Most of its stores are larger than 170,000 square feet, offer a variety of general merchandise and a full line of food items comparable to traditional supermarkets. Its digital channels include a wide merchandise and food assortment, including many items found in its stores, along with a complementary assortment sold by the Company and third parties. Its brands include A New Day, Ava & Viv, Cloud Island, Favorite Day, and others. It serves guests at nearly 2,000 stores and at Target.com.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Earnings Expectations: Target Corporation is set to release its Q4 earnings before the market opens on March 3, with analysts forecasting earnings of $2.15 per share, down from $2.41 in the previous year, indicating potential profitability challenges ahead.
- Revenue Forecast: The consensus estimate for quarterly revenue stands at $30.49 billion, slightly lower than last year's $30.91 billion, suggesting that the company may face hurdles in sales growth, warranting close monitoring of future market performance.
- Analyst Rating: Wells Fargo analyst Edward Kelly maintains an Overweight rating on Target and raises the price target from $115 to $130, reflecting confidence in the company's future performance, which may attract more investor interest.
- Dividend Yield: With an annual dividend yield of 4.01% and a quarterly dividend of $1.14, investors looking to earn $500 monthly from dividends would need to invest approximately $149,748, highlighting the attractiveness of the company's dividend policy.
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- Israeli Market Rally: The TA-35 index, which tracks the largest stocks on the Tel Aviv Stock Exchange, rose 4.6% on Monday, while the broader TA-125 increased by 4.75%, indicating investor optimism likely tied to expectations of a short resolution to the ongoing conflict.
- Strong ETF Performance: The iShares MSCI Israel ETF (EIS) surged 5.5% on Monday, reaching a new high, and has gained 131% since the October 7 attack, reflecting robust market confidence in Israel's economic recovery amidst geopolitical tensions.
- Defense Sector Growth: The iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF (ITA) jumped 2.8% on Monday and is up 16.7% year-to-date, highlighting sustained investor interest in defense spending, particularly in light of current geopolitical uncertainties.
- Rising Oil Prices Impact: Both Brent and West Texas Intermediate crude futures rose over 6%, with Brent up 17% in the past month, which could have significant implications for the global economy and related sectors, especially energy and transportation.
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- Retail Earnings: Target (TGT) is set to announce its fourth-quarter results on Tuesday, where despite a decline in store traffic, digital sales have helped mitigate some pressure, and investors will closely watch for any guidance commentary to assess the effectiveness of the company's turnaround efforts.
- Ross Exceeds Expectations: Ross (ROST) is expected to surpass revenue estimates, driven by consumers trading down and seeking discounts on recognizable brands, reflecting the economic environment's impact on retail behavior.
- Oil Price Volatility: Oil prices are moving sharply amid concerns over regional stability, with investors monitoring the potential impact on shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, a critical artery for global crude flows.
- Fed Officials Speak: Multiple Federal Reserve presidents will speak on Tuesday, with markets looking for signals regarding the path of interest rates, especially in light of recent geopolitical tensions and mixed economic data, as investors seek clarity on future rate policies.
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- Market Reaction: US stock futures edged lower late Monday, with S&P 500 futures down about 0.2%, Nasdaq 100 futures falling 0.3%, and Dow Jones Industrial Average futures dropping roughly 0.2%, reflecting investor concerns over the escalating conflict in the Middle East.
- Defensive Stocks Performance: Despite the overall market decline, defense and energy stocks saw gains, with shares of Lockheed Martin (LMT) and Palantir (PLTR) jumping significantly, while Nvidia (NVDA) advanced about 3%, providing support to broader equity indexes.
- Oil Price Volatility: Crude prices surged due to fears that hostilities could disrupt key supply routes, reigniting inflation concerns, particularly after reports indicated the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, exacerbating the situation.
- Economic Outlook Uncertainty: As tensions between the US and Iran escalate, President Trump indicated that the conflict could last four to five weeks, although he acknowledged it might extend longer, potentially leading to significant economic repercussions in the US and beyond.
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- Earnings Release Companies: Major companies such as Target Corporation (TGT), Sea Limited (SE), Best Buy Co. (BBY), AES Corporation (AES), and AutoZone (AZO) are set to report earnings before Tuesday's market open, which is expected to have a notable impact on the market.
- Earnings Expectations: These companies hold significant positions in their respective industries, and their earnings results will provide investors with critical performance metrics to assess market trends and consumer behavior.
- Additional Earnings: In addition to the major players, several other firms including AMLX, BWLP, and CPSH will also release earnings on the same day, further enriching market information.
- Market Reaction: Investors should closely monitor these earnings releases to adjust their investment strategies promptly, especially in the current economic climate where earnings results could influence stock price volatility.
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- Target Options Volume: Target Corp (TGT) saw options trading volume of 31,024 contracts today, representing approximately 3.1 million shares, which is about 48.2% of its average daily trading volume of 6.4 million shares over the past month, indicating heightened market interest in its future performance.
- High Volume Put Options: Among TGT's options, the $110 strike put option has been particularly active, with 5,716 contracts traded today, equating to approximately 571,600 shares, reflecting investor expectations of potential downward price movement.
- Valero Energy Options Activity: Concurrently, Valero Energy Corp (VLO) recorded an options trading volume of 12,095 contracts, representing around 1.2 million shares, which accounts for 45.2% of its average daily trading volume of 2.7 million shares over the past month, showcasing significant market attention.
- High Volume Put Options: For VLO, the $180 strike put option has also seen notable activity, with 3,004 contracts traded today, representing approximately 300,400 shares, indicating bearish sentiment among investors regarding its future stock price.
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