AST SpaceMobile (ASTS) Q4 2025 Earnings Transcript
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 16 hours ago
0mins
Should l Buy ASTS?
Source: NASDAQ.COM
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Analyst Views on ASTS
Wall Street analysts forecast ASTS stock price to rise
8 Analyst Rating
3 Buy
4 Hold
1 Sell
Hold
Current: 86.920
Low
43.00
Averages
91.68
High
137.00
Current: 86.920
Low
43.00
Averages
91.68
High
137.00
About ASTS
AST SpaceMobile, Inc. is engaged in building a global cellular broadband network in space to operate directly with standard, unmodified mobile devices based on its intellectual property (IP) and patent portfolio and designed for both commercial and government applications. The Company is engaged in designing and developing the constellation of BlueBird (BB) satellites and has planned space-based Cellular Broadband network distributed through a constellation of low Earth orbit (LEO) satellites. Its SpaceMobile Service is being designed to provide high-speed cellular broadband services to end-users who are out of terrestrial cellular coverage using existing mobile devices. The Company intends to continue testing capabilities of the BW3 test satellite, including further testing with cellular service providers and the government. The Company has operations in India, Scotland, Spain, and Israel.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Company Performance: A report indicates that Space Mobile shares have gained 2.5% following the release of their Q4 results.
- Market Reaction: The increase in share value reflects positive investor sentiment after the company's quarterly performance announcement.
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- Earnings Expectations: AST SpaceMobile is expected to report a loss of 16 cents per share and revenue of $41.11 million after the market closes on Monday, having only beaten Wall Street EPS estimates once in the last four quarters and failing to meet revenue estimates in all four quarters.
- Recent Performance: In its latest quarter, the company posted a loss of 45 cents per share, significantly wider than the consensus estimate of a 22-cent loss, with revenue totaling $14.47 million, missing expectations of $19.93 million, indicating financial challenges ahead.
- Market Reaction: ASTS shares rose 6.88% on Monday, trading at $84.66, reflecting strong long-term bullish momentum, although the stock remains 8.8% below its 20-day SMA, suggesting some short-term bearish pressure.
- Future Outlook: Investors should watch for updates on new carrier agreements, government contracts, satellite launch timelines, and management commentary on liquidity and revenue visibility heading into 2026 to assess the company's growth potential.
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- Earnings Performance: AST SpaceMobile reported a fourth-quarter loss of $0.26 per share, missing the consensus estimate of a $0.15 loss, yet achieved revenue of $54.30 million, surpassing expectations of $41.10 million, indicating strong revenue growth potential.
- Contract Revenue Commitments: The company has secured over $1.2 billion in aggregate contracted revenue commitments, which not only enhances its financial stability but also provides a solid foundation for future business expansion, reflecting market confidence in its services.
- Cash Flow Position: As of December 31, AST SpaceMobile reported $2.8 billion in cash, cash equivalents, and restricted cash, providing ample funding for future satellite launches and operations, ensuring its continued growth.
- Satellite Deployment Plans: AST SpaceMobile is advancing its satellite deployment campaign with plans to launch 45 to 60 satellites by the end of 2026, marking a significant step towards expanding into commercial services, which is expected to generate new revenue streams for the company.
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- Target's Strong Earnings: Target reported an adjusted earnings per share of $2.44 for Q4, exceeding analysts' expectations of $2.16, although its revenue of $30.45 billion fell slightly short of consensus, demonstrating resilience in a competitive retail environment.
- Best Buy's Robust Performance: Best Buy's adjusted earnings per share for Q4 reached $2.61, surpassing the $2.47 expected by analysts, despite revenue of $13.81 billion missing the $13.88 billion consensus, indicating sustained appeal in the electronics retail sector.
- On Holding's Disappointing Outlook: On Holding anticipates net sales growth of at least 23% by 2026, which is below the consensus estimate of 3.7 billion Swiss francs, leading to a nearly 10% drop in stock price, reflecting investor concerns about future growth.
- MongoDB's Decline: MongoDB expects first-quarter adjusted earnings per share between $1.15 and $1.19, falling short of the $1.21 forecasted by analysts, with revenue expectations also missing the mark, resulting in a more than 26% plunge in stock price, highlighting market disappointment in its growth prospects.
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- Escalation of Conflict: The Israeli Air Force launched simultaneous attacks on Tehran and Beirut on Tuesday, following Hezbollah's announcement of joining the war and firing missiles into northern Israel, indicating a significant deterioration in regional stability that could lead to a broader Middle Eastern war.
- U.S. Base Attacked: Iran's Revolutionary Guard claimed responsibility for attacking a U.S. base in Bahrain, destroying its main command headquarters, which exacerbates military tensions for the U.S. in the region and may impact its strategic deployments.
- Surge in Oil Prices: Crude oil prices soared on Tuesday due to the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, with WTI crude futures rising 7% to $76.14 per barrel and Brent crude futures also up 7% to $83.13 per barrel, reflecting market sensitivity to geopolitical risks.
- Market Sentiment Turns Bearish: Following the new strikes by Israel and the U.S. on Iran, S&P 500 futures fell 1.7%, Dow futures declined 1.6%, and Nasdaq futures dropped 1.7%, indicating investor anxiety about future market conditions, particularly as retail sentiment towards SPY and QQQ ETFs shifted into bearish territory.
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- Stock Market Trends: Stock futures are declining as investors express concerns over the ongoing conflict in the Middle East.
- Investor Sentiment: The uncertainty surrounding the situation is contributing to negative sentiment in the financial markets.
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