Validea's Top Consumer Discretionary Stocks Based On Martin Zweig - 8/12/2025
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Aug 12 2025
0mins
Should l Buy TNL?
Source: NASDAQ.COM
Top Rated Consumer Discretionary Stocks: Validea's Growth Investor model highlights SONY GROUP CORP and LEVI STRAUSS & CO as top-rated stocks with a score of 77%, indicating strong fundamentals and reasonable valuations, while TRAVEL + LEISURE CO, ARHAUS INC, and JD.COM INC received lower ratings around 69%.
Investment Strategy Overview: The analysis is based on Martin Zweig's strategy focusing on growth stocks with accelerating earnings, sales growth, low debt, and reasonable valuations, aiming to identify potential investment opportunities in the consumer discretionary sector.
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Analyst Views on TNL
Wall Street analysts forecast TNL stock price to fall
9 Analyst Rating
7 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 74.570
Low
65.14
Averages
72.68
High
80.00
Current: 74.570
Low
65.14
Averages
72.68
High
80.00
About TNL
Travel + Leisure Co. is a vacation ownership and membership travel company. The Company’s segments include Vacation Ownership and Travel and Membership. The Vacation Ownership segment develops, markets, and sells vacation ownership interests (VOIs) to individual consumers, provides consumer financing in connection with the sale of VOIs, and provides property management services at resorts. This segment includes its Vacation Ownership business line. It provides day-to-day property management services, including oversight of housekeeping services, maintenance, and certain accounting and administrative services for property owners’ associations and clubs. These services may also include reservation and resort renovation activities. Travel and Membership segment operates a variety of travel businesses, including vacation exchange brands, travel technology platforms, travel memberships, and direct-to-consumer rentals. This segment is comprised of its Exchange and Travel Club business lines.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Investment Opportunities: The current market conditions favor dividend stocks, providing opportunities for income-seeking investors.
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- Strong Financial Performance: In Q4 2025, Travel + Leisure Co. reported revenue of $1.026 billion, EBITDA of $272 million, and EPS of $1.83, with an 8% year-over-year EBITDA growth reflecting improved operational leverage and robust performance in its core Vacation Ownership business.
- Increased Shareholder Returns: Since the 2018 spin-off, the company has returned over $2.9 billion to shareholders, reduced its share count by approximately one-third, and increased dividends by over 35%, demonstrating a strong commitment to enhancing shareholder value.
- Resort Optimization Initiative: The company introduced a resort optimization initiative expected to incur a one-time charge of $216 million in 2025, but is projected to yield a $20 million net EBITDA benefit in 2026, highlighting strategic decisions aimed at improving asset quality and profitability.
- Optimistic Future Outlook: Management anticipates EBITDA for 2026 to range between $1.03 billion and $1.055 billion, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 4% to 7%, with VOI sales expected to increase by 1% to 5%, indicating sustained growth potential and confidence in future performance.
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- Earnings Highlights: Travel+Leisure reported a Q4 GAAP EPS of -$0.95, missing expectations by $2.19, yet revenue reached $1.03 billion, up 6.1% year-over-year, exceeding forecasts by $50 million, indicating resilience in the market.
- Annual Performance: For FY 2025, net revenue was $4.02 billion with gross VOI sales of $2.49 billion, an 8% year-over-year increase, including 6% growth in VPG and 3% in Tours, showcasing significant progress in optimizing resort operations.
- Cash Flow and Profitability: Adjusted EBITDA stood at $990 million with adjusted diluted EPS of $6.34, net cash provided by operating activities was $640 million, and adjusted free cash flow reached $516 million, reflecting strong cash generation and profitability.
- Future Outlook: The company expects FY 2026 adjusted EBITDA to range from $1.03 billion to $1.055 billion, and the Board will recommend increasing the Q1 2026 dividend to $0.60 per share, further enhancing shareholder returns.
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- Strong Performance: Travel + Leisure (TNL) reported Q4 2025 net revenue of $1.03 billion, a 5.7% year-over-year increase that exceeded expectations by $30 million, demonstrating the resilience and sustained momentum of its core Vacation Ownership business.
- Profitability Improvement: The company's key operating income metric rose 8% to $272 million, while adjusted EPS increased 6% to $1.83, beating estimates by a penny, indicating significant improvements in profitability.
- Enhanced Shareholder Returns: TNL announced a 7% increase in its quarterly dividend to $0.60 per share and approved a new $750 million share repurchase plan, aimed at boosting shareholder value and enhancing market confidence.
- Optimistic Outlook: The company forecasts adjusted EBITDA for the current quarter to be between $210 million and $220 million, reflecting a 6% increase at the midpoint over last year, driven by strong leisure travel demand and ongoing business resilience.
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- Strong Earnings Report: Travel+Leisure reported a Q4 non-GAAP EPS of $1.83, beating expectations by $0.01, indicating sustained profitability and strong performance amid the travel industry's recovery.
- Revenue Growth: The company achieved Q4 revenue of $1.03 billion, a 5.7% year-over-year increase that exceeded market expectations by $30 million, reflecting a rebound in market demand and solidifying its industry position.
- Sales Performance: Gross VOI sales reached $638 million, up 8% year-over-year, with a 5% growth in tours and a 2% increase in volume per guest, showcasing strong customer demand and the appeal of the company's offerings.
- Future Outlook: The company expects adjusted EBITDA for FY 2026 to range from $1.03 billion to $1.055 billion, and the Board will recommend increasing the Q1 2026 dividend to $0.60 per share, demonstrating confidence in future growth and commitment to shareholder returns.
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- Financial Overview: Travel + Leisure Co. reported a net revenue of $4.02 billion for 2025, reflecting a 4% year-over-year growth, demonstrating the company's stable growth in the leisure travel market despite challenges from inventory write-downs.
- Vacation Ownership Sales Growth: Gross VOI sales reached $2.49 billion in 2025, up 8% year-over-year, with a 6% increase in volume per guest (VPG), indicating sustained strength in the company's core business.
- Adjusted EBITDA Performance: The adjusted EBITDA for 2025 was $990 million, a 7% increase from the previous year, showcasing effective strategies in cost management and revenue growth, which enhanced shareholder returns.
- Future Outlook and Shareholder Returns: The company expects adjusted EBITDA for 2026 to range between $1.03 billion and $1.055 billion, and plans to increase the first-quarter 2026 dividend to $0.60 per share, reflecting confidence in future growth.
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