U.S. Policy Affects Canadian Tourist Trends
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Jan 26 2026
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Should l Buy MTN?
Source: seekingalpha
- Visitor Decline Trend: U.S. ski resorts report a sharp drop in Canadian visitors, particularly in the New England region, despite excellent snowfall this winter, indicating a direct impact of policy on tourism.
- Canadian Tourist Reaction: Inntopia data reveals that Canadian bookings tend to drop significantly within 48 hours following any controversial geopolitical statement by President Trump, reflecting their dissatisfaction and resistance to U.S. policies.
- Sense of Betrayal: Tom Foley, Inntopia's director of business intelligence, states that Canadians feel betrayed by a longtime friend, exacerbating their resistance to U.S. ski resorts and affecting tourism stability.
- Impact on Las Vegas: There is also a notable decline in Canadian tourists visiting Las Vegas compared to last year, further demonstrating the negative impact of U.S. policies on tourism across other popular destinations.
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Analyst Views on MTN
Wall Street analysts forecast MTN stock price to rise
9 Analyst Rating
3 Buy
5 Hold
1 Sell
Hold
Current: 134.920
Low
145.00
Averages
169.54
High
234.00
Current: 134.920
Low
145.00
Averages
169.54
High
234.00
About MTN
Vail Resorts, Inc. is a network of destination and close-to-home ski resorts in the world including Vail Mountain, Breckenridge, Park City Mountain, Whistler Blackcomb, Stowe, and 32 additional resorts across North America; Andermatt-Sedrun and Crans-Montana Mountain Resort in Switzerland; and Perisher, Hotham, and Falls Creek in Australia - all available on the Company's Epic Pass. The Company's segments include Mountain, Lodging and Real Estate. It also provides ancillary services, primarily including ski school, dining and retail/rental operations. The Company owns and/or manages a collection of elegant hotels under the RockResorts brand, a portfolio of vacation rentals, condominiums and branded hotels located in close proximity to its mountain destinations, as well as the Grand Teton Lodge Company in Jackson Hole, Wyo. The Company operates more than 250 retail and rental locations across North America. It owns, develops and sells real estate in and around its resort communities.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Pricing Strategy: Vail Resorts has introduced the Epic Pass and Epic Local Pass for young skiers aged 13 to 30 at prices of $869 and $649, respectively, offering a 20% discount that allows savings of up to $220, significantly enhancing participation among younger demographics.
- Social Engagement Initiative: The return of Epic Friend Tickets allows 2026/27 Epic Pass holders to receive 10 tickets at 50% off, encouraging pass holders to share their skiing passion with friends and family, thereby fostering community and enhancing customer loyalty.
- Additional Savings Offer: Skiers who visited any of Vail Resorts' 37 North American resorts during the 2025/26 season can save up to $175 on Epic Pass products, making the price for young travelers as low as $694, which further reduces the financial barrier to skiing.
- Enhanced Experience Offerings: Vail Resorts is not only providing ski passes but also introducing new dining experiences across its resorts, with Epic Pass holders receiving a 20% discount on on-mountain dining, aimed at enriching the overall skiing experience and attracting more young visitors.
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- Discount for Young Skiers: Vail Resorts is offering a 20% discount on the Epic Pass for the 2026/2027 ski season to attract Gen Z skiers, who represent 26% of their customer base but have been declining since their peak in 2020-2021.
- Price Adjustments: The adult Epic Pass has increased by 3.6% to $1,089, while the pass for skiers aged 13 to 30 is priced at $869, providing season-long access and a 20% discount on dining, aimed at boosting engagement among younger consumers.
- Market Strategy Response: In response to reduced consumer spending and poor skiing conditions, Vail Resorts is implementing dynamic pricing strategies and allowing lift ticket purchasers to apply up to $175 towards future pass purchases to stimulate demand.
- Increased Marketing Budget: The company has raised its marketing budget in the first fiscal quarter, resulting in a wider loss, but demonstrating a strong commitment to attracting skiers back to the slopes and reflecting a positive outlook for the upcoming ski season.
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- Youth Pricing Initiative: Vail Resorts has introduced a 20% discount on the 2026/27 Epic Pass and Epic Local Pass for skiers aged 13 to 30, allowing young travelers to save up to $220, thereby promoting greater accessibility to skiing and snowboarding.
- Return of Epic Friend Tickets: Eligible Epic Pass holders for the 2026/27 season who purchase early will receive 10 Epic Friend Tickets at a 50% discount, encouraging pass holders to share their passion for skiing with friends and family, enhancing the social aspect of the sport.
- Significant Discount Opportunity: Skiers who used a lift ticket during the 2025/26 season can save up to $175 on select Epic Pass products, meaning young travelers can secure an Epic Pass for as low as $694 or an Epic Local Pass for just $474, significantly lowering the financial barrier to entry.
- Enhanced Overall Experience: Guests with the 2026/27 Epic Pass will enjoy a 20% discount on on-mountain dining, while Vail Resorts is also introducing new food and beverage experiences, aiming to elevate the overall appeal of ski vacations and attract more young visitors.
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- Merger Agreement Details: IHS Holding Limited has announced a merger agreement with MTN Group, with a transaction price of $8.50 per share, valuing the deal at approximately $6.2 billion, showcasing the company's strong market appeal.
- Shareholder Value Enhancement: The transaction offers a 239% premium to shareholders compared to the share price at the strategic review on March 12, 2024, reflecting management's commitment to shareholder interests.
- Positive Market Reaction: The deal also presents a 36% premium based on the 52-week volume-weighted average price as of February 4, 2026, indicating market recognition and confidence in the transaction.
- Board Support: The IHS Board of Directors has unanimously approved the deal and recommended that shareholders vote in favor, with the transaction expected to close in 2026, further solidifying the company's market position.
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- Share Reduction Details: According to a SEC filing dated February 17, 2026, BAMCO Inc sold 892,764 shares of Vail Resorts during Q4, reducing its holdings to 4,809,928 shares, with a quarter-end valuation decline of $214.19 million reflecting both trading activities and price movements.
- Asset Management Ratio Shift: Following this sale, Vail Resorts now represents only 1.73% of BAMCO's 13F reportable AUM, indicating investor concerns regarding the resilience of high-end vacation spending in an uncertain travel environment.
- Company Financial Overview: As of February 17, 2026, Vail Resorts' stock price stood at $137.75, down 8.9% over the past year, underperforming the S&P 500 by 23.36 percentage points, which reflects market caution regarding its future growth prospects.
- Profitability Model Analysis: Vail Resorts generates revenue primarily from lift ticket sales, lodging, and ancillary resort services; while the Epic Pass offers predictable cash flow, the company's high fixed costs mean that even slight declines in visitor numbers can significantly pressure earnings.
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- Share Sale Details: BAMCO Inc sold 892,764 shares of Vail Resorts in Q4 for approximately $131.38 million, reflecting market concerns about high-end vacation spending, which has led to a decline in the company's investment position.
- Value Decline: The transaction resulted in a $214.19 million decrease in BAMCO's position value in Vail Resorts, with the current holding of 4,809,928 shares valued at $638.76 million, indicating pressure on the company within the luxury travel market.
- Portfolio Impact: Vail Resorts now represents 1.73% of BAMCO's 13F reportable assets under management, no longer being among the top five holdings, which suggests a weakening investor confidence in the company.
- Market Performance Analysis: As of February 17, 2026, Vail Resorts' stock price stood at $137.75, down 8.9% over the past year, underperforming the S&P 500 by 23.36 percentage points, reflecting a cautious market outlook on its future growth.
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