Tuesday's ETF Movers: PNQI, TAN
Invesco Solar ETF Performance: The Invesco Solar ETF is down approximately 3.5% in trading on Tuesday, with significant declines in its components, including Shoals Technologies Group and Sunnova Energy International, which fell by 11.8% and 9.2%, respectively.
Market Commentary: The opinions expressed in the article are those of the author and do not necessarily represent the views of Nasdaq, Inc.
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Stock Performance: Forgent Power Solutions shares rose nearly 6% on Monday, reflecting positive market sentiment.
Analyst Coverage: Four Wall Street firms initiated coverage with bullish ratings, contributing to the stock's upward trend.
IPO Gains: The stock has increased over 30% since its initial public offering price of $27.
Current Trading Price: Forgent Power Solutions is currently trading around $35.
- Earnings Decline: Three solar stocks dropped over 30% after disappointing earnings reports, with a fourth stock falling 14%, indicating financial struggles in the industry.
- Industry Challenges: The solar sector is facing significant challenges, including tariff impacts on profit margins, unfavorable federal energy policies, and weaker-than-expected demand.
- Lack of Solutions: There are no straightforward or immediate solutions to address the financial and operational issues currently affecting the solar industry.
- Market Sentiment: The sharp declines in stock prices reflect growing concerns among investors regarding the future viability and profitability of solar companies.
- Earnings Miss: Shoals Technologies reported an adjusted EPS of 10 cents, falling short of the consensus estimate of 14 cents, indicating pressure on profitability that may dampen investor confidence.
- Sales Beat: The company achieved sales of $148.3 million, exceeding analyst expectations of $145.4 million; however, the earnings miss led to a tepid market reaction, negatively impacting share performance.
- Backlog Insights: As of December 31, 2025, the backlog and awarded orders stood at $747.6 million, indicating future revenue potential, yet concerns over gross margin may hinder stock recovery.
- Analyst Downgrades: Needham analyst lowered the price target from $14 to $12, reflecting caution regarding the company's future gross margin outlook, suggesting ongoing market pressure on the stock.
- Optimistic Market Outlook: Analyst Moses Sutton from BNP Paribas indicates that cumulative utility-scale solar capacity in the U.S. could exceed 250 gigawatts by 2030, significantly surpassing industry expectations of 150 to 200 gigawatts, highlighting robust growth potential in the solar market.
- Array Technologies Upgrade: BNP upgraded Array Technologies (ARRY) from Neutral to Outperform, raising its price target from $9 to $19, with projected 2026 earnings per share of $1.00, above the Street's $0.84 estimate, underscoring the company's pivotal role in accelerated deployment.
- Shoals Technologies Adjustment: BNP upgraded Shoals Technologies (SHLS) from Underperform to Neutral, increasing its price target from $5 to $9; despite margin pressures, the backlog for its battery energy storage systems surged from $18 million to $67 million, indicating strong traction in new product lines.
- First Solar Rating Maintained: BNP reiterated its Outperform rating on First Solar (FSLR) with a price target of $281, expecting 2026 revenue guidance of $5.05 billion, reflecting the company's competitive edge in the domestic market, particularly under supportive trade policies.

- Record Quarterly Revenue: Shoals Technologies Group reported fourth-quarter revenue of $148.3 million, a 39% increase year-over-year, primarily driven by heightened demand for products catering to utility-scale solar projects, thereby solidifying the company's leadership in the energy transition market.
- Strong Backlog: As of December 31, 2025, the company's backlog and awarded orders totaled $747.6 million, an 18% increase from year-end 2024, indicating sustained demand for the company's solar products and supporting future growth potential.
- Adjusted EBITDA Growth: The fourth-quarter adjusted EBITDA reached $30.3 million, reflecting a 14% increase from the prior year, showcasing the company's ongoing improvements in operational efficiency and cost control, which further bolsters investor confidence.
- Optimistic 2026 Outlook: The company expects first-quarter revenue to range between $125 million and $135 million, with full-year revenue projected between $560 million and $600 million, demonstrating strong market demand and the effectiveness of strategic investments.
- Significant Revenue Growth: Shoals Technologies Group reported approximately $148 million in revenue for Q4 2025, representing a 38.6% year-over-year increase, alongside a record backlog of $748 million, indicating strong market demand and business expansion potential.
- International Business Expansion: International revenue surged from less than $1 million in 2024 to approximately $13 million in 2025, showcasing the company's successful global positioning, particularly in the community, commercial & industrial (CC&I), and OEM sectors.
- Gross Margin Challenges: Despite achieving a gross profit of $46.9 million with a gross margin of 31.6%, the margin fell short of expectations due to increased tariffs, labor, and shipping costs, reflecting short-term profitability pressures.
- Optimistic Future Outlook: Shoals expects Q1 2026 revenue to range between $125 million and $135 million, with full-year revenue projections of $560 million to $600 million, demonstrating confidence in future growth despite challenges from legal expenses and operational transitions.





