Trump to Seize on Employment Figures: A Critical Time for the Federal Reserve.
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Dec 15 2025
0mins
Source: Barron's
Trump's Cameo in Home Alone 2: President Donald Trump made a brief appearance in the film, giving directions to the character Kevin, played by Macaulay Culkin.
Potential Fed Chair Candidates: Trump is now looking to influence the selection of the next Federal Reserve chair, with Kevin Hassett and Kevin Warsh being the likely candidates.
Impact on Interest Rate Forecasting: Trump's involvement in the selection process could complicate predictions regarding interest rates, especially with significant economic data expected this week.
Economic Context: The current economic climate is characterized by a flurry of data releases, which may be affected by the upcoming changes in Fed leadership.
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Analyst Views on LEN
Wall Street analysts forecast LEN stock price to fall
13 Analyst Rating
0 Buy
7 Hold
6 Sell
Moderate Sell
Current: 108.410
Low
80.00
Averages
101.18
High
125.00
Current: 108.410
Low
80.00
Averages
101.18
High
125.00
About LEN
Lennar Corporation is a homebuilder and an originator of residential and commercial mortgage loans. The Company is also a provider of title insurance and closing services, and a developer of multifamily rental properties. The Company's segments include Homebuilding East, Homebuilding Central, Homebuilding Texas, Homebuilding West, Financial Services, Multifamily, and Lennar others. Its Homebuilding segments primarily include the construction and sale of single-family attached and detached homes, as well as the purchase, development and sale of residential land directly and through its unconsolidated entities. The Company's Financial Services segment primarily provides mortgage financing, title and closing services primarily for buyers of its homes, as well as property and casualty insurance. The Company’s Multifamily segment is involved in the development, construction and property management of multifamily rental properties. its Lennar Other segment includes fund investments.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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Truist Predicts Decline in Home Builder Revenue This Year, Yet Recommends These 4 Stocks for Purchase.
Home-builder revenue forecast: Home-builder revenue is expected to decline significantly in 2026 due to ongoing pressures in the housing market.
Investor opportunities: Despite the revenue drop, the situation presents a favorable opportunity for investors looking to target specific builders.
See More
Mortgage Application Volume Surges Amid Low Rates
- Mortgage Application Growth: Total mortgage application volume increased by 11% from the previous week, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association's seasonally adjusted index, indicating strong borrower response to low rates.
- Refinance Applications Surge: Refinance applications jumped 14.3% week-over-week and were 109% higher than the same week last year, reflecting a growing trend among borrowers seeking to lower their monthly payments amid favorable rates.
- Home Purchase Loan Applications Rise: Applications for home purchase loans rose by 6.1% for the week and were 10% higher than the same week last year, suggesting buyers are preparing for the upcoming spring housing market despite adverse weather conditions in the Northeast.
- Rate Volatility Impact: While mortgage rates remained at a four-year low of 6.09% last week, geopolitical tensions could lead to fluctuations in rates in the coming days, potentially affecting market sentiment and buyer behavior.
See More
Institutional Investors Shift to Selling Single-Family Homes
- Market Selling Trend: Research from Parcl Labs indicates that institutional investors now represent 22.8% of new for-sale listings in major cities, highlighting a significant shift in the housing market dynamics.
- Invitation Homes Performance: In its Q4 2025 earnings report, Invitation Homes sold 315 existing homes while acquiring 2,410 newly constructed homes, reflecting its proactive strategy to adapt to changing market conditions.
- Policy Impact: President Trump's executive order restricting large institutional investors from purchasing single-family homes aims to enhance housing affordability, which is expected to have profound implications for market structure.
- Build-to-Rent Transition: Invitation Homes' acquisition of ResiBuilt Homes, which delivers about 1,000 new rental homes annually, underscores the company's strategic focus on high-growth markets and expanding its rental housing supply.
See More
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- Analyst Rating Changes: Top Wall Street analysts have adjusted their ratings on several stocks, including upgrades, downgrades, and initiations, reflecting varying market perspectives and future expectations for these companies.
- Market Dynamics Overview: While specific stock names are not mentioned, changes in analyst ratings typically influence investor decisions, potentially leading to price volatility in the affected stocks.
- Investor Focus: For those considering buying SPXC stock, analysts' opinions may provide crucial insights, helping them assess potential investment risks and returns.
- Source of Information: This information is provided by Benzinga, highlighting the significance of analyst ratings in investment decisions, and investors should monitor these changes to optimize their portfolios.
See More
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- Housing Market Rebound Delayed: The anticipated recovery in the housing market continues to be postponed, affecting investor confidence.
- Impact on Home Builders: Investors in home builders are experiencing financial strain due to the ongoing delays in the housing market recovery.
See More
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- Stock Market Decline: The S&P 500 index fell by 2.18%, reaching a 3.25-month low, indicating market concerns over the Iran conflict that may lead to decreased investor confidence and increased volatility.
- Surge in Oil Prices: WTI crude oil prices rose over 8% to an 8.5-month high due to Iran's threats to close the Strait of Hormuz, potentially causing long-term disruptions in global energy markets and raising inflation expectations.
- Rising Bond Yields: The 10-year German bund yield climbed to a 2.5-week high of 2.814%, reflecting market worries about future inflation, which may prompt investors to shift towards bonds for safety.
- Economic Data Focus: This week, the market will focus on U.S. employment data and economic indicators, with the ADP employment change expected to rise by 40,000 and the ISM services index anticipated to slip slightly, indicating potential economic slowdown.
See More
