Record Surge in Drug Licensing Deals from China
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Feb 19 2026
0mins
Should l Buy ABBV?
Source: seekingalpha
- Surge in Deal Count: According to PharmCube, the Greater China region signed 186 cross-border licensing deals worth $137.7B in 2025, marking a nearly tenfold increase from 65 deals valued at $13.9B in 2021, highlighting the growing appeal of the Chinese market for global pharmaceutical companies.
- Industry Trend Analysis: As several blockbuster drugs face patent expirations, leading drugmakers increasingly rely on licensing deals to replenish their pipelines, with projections indicating a potential $200B revenue loss for the global pharmaceutical industry from 2026 to 2030, making China a crucial licensing market.
- Expansion of Deal Size: The average deal size in 2026 stands at $1.3B, reflecting a ~76% increase from 2025 and approximately six times the average size in 2021, driven by AstraZeneca's obesity drug deal worth up to $18.5B with CSPC Pharmaceutical and AbbVie's cancer drug deal worth up to $5.6B with RemeGen.
- Ongoing Attraction: So far in 2026, 38 deals have been reached with a total value approaching $49B, demonstrating the sustained interest of international pharmaceutical companies in the Chinese market, particularly under the pressure of patent expirations.
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Analyst Views on ABBV
Wall Street analysts forecast ABBV stock price to rise
18 Analyst Rating
12 Buy
6 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 233.860
Low
223.00
Averages
252.00
High
289.00
Current: 233.860
Low
223.00
Averages
252.00
High
289.00
About ABBV
AbbVie Inc. is a global, diversified research-based biopharmaceutical company. It is engaged in research and development, manufacturing, commercialization and sale of medicines and therapies. Its product portfolio includes Immunology, Oncology, Aesthetics, Neuroscience, Eye Care and Other Key Products. Immunology products include rheumatology, dermatology and gastroenterology. Oncology products include Imbruvica, Venclexta/Venclyxto, Elahere and Epkinly. Aesthetics portfolio consists of facial injectables, plastics and regenerative medicine, body contouring, and skincare products. Its Neuroscience products include Botox Therapeutic, Vraylar, Duopa and Duodopa, Ubrelvy, and Qulipta. Eye Care products include Ozurdex, Lumigan/Ganfort, Alphagan/Combigan, Restasis, and other eye care. Other key products include Mavyret/Maviret, Creon, and Linzess/Constella. Its investigational candidate, bretisilocin, is for the treatment of patients with moderate-to-severe major depressive disorder (MDD).
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Dividend Increase: AbbVie has raised its dividend for 54 consecutive years, with a 5.5% increase this year, making it a 'Dividend King', which not only attracts income-focused investors but also enhances the company's stability and appeal in the market.
- R&D Investments: AbbVie made significant acquisitions in 2024, including over $10 billion for ImmunoGen, bolstering its pipeline in oncology and neuroscience, demonstrating its commitment to innovation and responsiveness to market demands.
- FDA Approval: AbbVie received FDA approval to market Venclexta as a first-line treatment for chronic lymphocytic leukemia, which not only enhances the competitiveness of its product portfolio but also lays a foundation for future revenue growth.
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- Significant Revenue Growth: In 2025, AbbVie's revenue reached $61.2 billion, reflecting an 8.6% increase, despite a 1.3% decline in earnings per share to $2.36 due to R&D and acquisition expenses, demonstrating the company's resilience and growth potential in the pharmaceutical market.
- Robust Product Pipeline: AbbVie currently has over 90 compounds in its pipeline, with two-thirds in mid- to late-stage trials, particularly bolstered by acquisitions of ImmunoGen and Cerevel Therapeutics, enhancing its oncology and neuroscience portfolios, which are expected to drive future revenue growth.
- Consistent Dividend Growth: AbbVie has raised its dividend for 54 consecutive years, with a 5.5% increase this year, yielding approximately 2.8%, significantly higher than the average yield of the S&P 500, showcasing the company's strong capability in delivering shareholder returns.
- Long-Term Management Strategy: AbbVie's management focuses on long-term growth, maintaining strong demand for its oncology, immunology, and psychiatric medications despite economic fluctuations, achieving a gross margin of 72.6%, ensuring ample funding for R&D and dividend payments.
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- Future Outlook: Xiaomi plans to enable humanoid robots to replace certain human tasks and accomplish work traditionally beyond human capability, signaling the company's long-term strategy in smart manufacturing.
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Tech Sector Pressures: The tech sector is facing challenges, particularly due to concerns surrounding artificial intelligence.
Investor Behavior: Instead of withdrawing from equities, investors are shifting their focus within the market.
Market Opportunities: This rotation in investment strategy is creating new pockets of opportunity for investors.
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- Dividend Yield Advantage: AbbVie offers a dividend yield of 2.9%, significantly higher than the S&P 500's 1.1%, making it an attractive choice for long-term investors seeking steady cash flow for their portfolios.
- Consistent Dividend Growth: Since its inception in 2013, AbbVie has increased its dividend by over 330%, which not only boosts investor confidence but also indicates the company's capability to combat inflation effectively.
- Strong Cash Flow: Despite a payout ratio exceeding 100%, AbbVie reported a free cash flow of $17.8 billion last year, far surpassing the $11.7 billion paid in dividends, demonstrating its robust financial health.
- Diverse Growth Opportunities: AbbVie has a rich product portfolio across oncology, neuroscience, aesthetics, eye care, and immunology, with projected net revenue of $61.2 billion by 2025, showcasing its strong growth potential.
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- Significant Dividend Growth: AbbVie has increased its dividend by over 330% since its IPO in 2013, currently offering a yield of 2.9%, which is substantially higher than the S&P 500 average of 1.1%, indicating the company's stability and growth potential in dividend payments.
- Strong Cash Flow Support: Last year, AbbVie generated $17.8 billion in free cash flow, significantly exceeding its $11.7 billion in dividend payments, which, despite a payout ratio over 100%, demonstrates robust cash flow capabilities for sustaining dividends.
- Diverse Growth Opportunities: AbbVie has a rich product portfolio across oncology, neuroscience, aesthetics, eye care, and immunology, with projected net revenue of $61.2 billion and a growth rate of 9% by 2025, showcasing its ability to continuously develop new drugs and acquire companies.
- Enhanced Investor Confidence: Although AbbVie was not included in the current top investment stocks identified by analysts, its stable dividend and strong growth prospects make it an ideal choice for long-term investors, providing a reliable cash flow for their portfolios.
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