Notable ETF Outflow Detected - PWB, ECL, HLT, RSG
- Stock Price Analysis: The article discusses PWB's stock price range, with the low point at $65.3104 per share and the high point at $93.24 per share. It also compares the last trade price of $92.93 to the 200-day moving average for technical analysis.
- Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs): ETFs are highlighted as trading like stocks but involving units instead of shares. These units can be traded similarly to stocks and can be created or destroyed based on investor demand, impacting underlying holdings.
- Monitoring ETF Flows: The article mentions monitoring week-over-week changes in shares outstanding data for ETFs to track notable inflows (new units created) or outflows (old units destroyed), which can affect the individual components held within ETFs.
- Notable Outflows: It references finding out about 9 other ETFs that experienced notable outflows, indicating significant movements in the creation or destruction of units and their impact on underlying holdings.
- Author's Disclaimer: The views and opinions expressed in the article are attributed to the author and may not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.
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- Price Fluctuation Analysis: RSG's stock has a 52-week low of $201.42 and a high of $258.75, with the last trade at $228.89, indicating significant price movement within this range and reflecting market interest in the stock.
- Technical Analysis Source: The RSG DMA information is sourced from TechnicalAnalysisChannel.com, providing in-depth insights into RSG's technical indicators, which can help investors better understand market trends.
- Market Sentiment Assessment: Although the current stock price is positioned in the middle of the 52-week range, market sentiment may be influenced by the overall economic environment and industry dynamics, prompting investors to carefully assess risks.
- Investor Focus: RSG's performance is linked to nine other dividend stocks that recently crossed above their 200-day moving average, indicating ongoing market interest in high-dividend stocks, which may influence investor decisions.
- Shareholder Return Expectations: Waste Management anticipates a 29% year-over-year free cash flow growth in 2026, marking the largest jump since COVID, indicating that after years of investment, cash flow is rebounding, allowing for substantial shareholder returns.
- Capital Expenditure Strategy: The company deployed approximately $11.6 billion in 'planting' capital from FY2022 to FY2025, with $7.5 billion allocated to the acquisition of Stericycle, successfully creating a medical waste management segment that generated $2 billion in revenue and achieved a 16% profit margin in its first year, demonstrating the effectiveness of strategic investments.
- Infrastructure Modernization: WM invested about $1.8 billion in infrastructure, establishing seven landfill gas-to-energy plants now producing pipeline-quality natural gas, while also integrating robotics and AI across nine recycling facilities, enhancing operational efficiency and market competitiveness.
- Market Performance Analysis: Waste Management's stock surged from November lows, reclaiming both the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, currently consolidating between $238 and $240, with a decisive breakout above $240 indicating entry into blue-sky territory, reflecting strong market confidence and effective risk management.
Earnings Report: Republic Services, Inc. reported fourth-quarter earnings per share of $1.76, exceeding forecasts of $1.62, but slightly missed revenue expectations with $4.14 billion, which was 1.6% below the forecasted $4.21 billion.
Future Guidance: The company provided guidance for full-year 2026 revenue between $17.05 billion and $17.15 billion, indicating a 3% year-over-year increase, and EPS guidance between $7.20 and $7.28, also reflecting a similar growth rate.
Stock Performance: Despite a negative total return of around 2.2% over the last 12 months, Republic Services' stock is showing signs of a bullish reversal, with analysts suggesting a potential upside of about 15% and a price target near $245.
Market Trends: Investors are adopting a more defensive posture amid concerns about growth sustainability in the artificial intelligence sector, while Republic Services is expected to benefit from ongoing consolidation trends in the waste management industry.
- Strong Economic Data: US December capital goods new orders rose 0.6% month-over-month, exceeding expectations of 0.3%, indicating a rebound in capital spending that boosts market confidence and drives stock prices higher.
- Housing Market Recovery: December housing starts increased by 6.2% month-over-month to 1.404 million, significantly surpassing the expected 1.304 million, suggesting a recovery in the housing market that could stimulate investment and consumption in related sectors.
- Manufacturing Production Growth: January manufacturing production rose by 0.6% month-over-month, stronger than the expected 0.4%, marking the largest increase in 11 months, indicating a recovery in manufacturing that supports overall economic growth expectations.
- Optimistic Stock Market Performance: Over 75% of S&P 500 companies reported earnings that beat expectations, with Q4 earnings growth projected at 8.4%, providing strong support for the stock market despite lingering doubts about future interest rate policies.
- Strong Economic Data: US December capital goods new orders rose 0.6% month-over-month, surpassing expectations of 0.3%, indicating a rebound in capital spending and boosting market confidence in economic recovery.
- Housing Market Recovery: December housing starts increased by 6.2% month-over-month to 1.404 million, significantly exceeding expectations of 1.304 million, suggesting a revival in the real estate market that could drive growth in related sectors.
- Manufacturing Production Growth: January manufacturing production rose 0.6% month-over-month, beating expectations of 0.4%, marking the largest increase in 11 months, which indicates a recovery momentum in manufacturing that may further propel economic growth.
- Optimistic Corporate Earnings: Over 75% of S&P 500 companies reported earnings that exceeded expectations, with Q4 earnings growth projected at 8.4%, which will further boost market sentiment and attract investor interest.
- Wingstop Stock Surge: Shares of Wingstop jumped approximately 13% due to an upbeat outlook, projecting flat to low-single digit same-store sales growth for fiscal 2026, despite a 5.8% year-over-year decline in same-store sales in Q4, which was better than the expected 6.7% drop by analysts.
- Moody's Earnings Beat: Moody's shares rose 6% after reporting adjusted Q4 earnings of $3.64 per share, exceeding the $3.43 expected by analysts, with revenue of $1.89 billion also surpassing the $1.86 billion consensus, and the company guiding for full-year adjusted earnings between $16.40 and $17 per share.
- Madison Square Garden Spin-off Plans: Madison Square Garden Sports saw a 13% increase in shares after announcing plans to consider spinning off its New York Knicks franchise from its New York Rangers business, potentially enhancing the market value and operational efficiency of both entities.
- Global Payments Optimistic Guidance: Global Payments shares surged 15% as the company projected earnings of $13.80 to $14 per share by the end of 2026, exceeding the $13.58 consensus, while also expecting adjusted net revenue growth of around 5%, higher than the 4.7% forecast by analysts.









