Meritage Homes Q4 Earnings Announcement Scheduled
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Jan 27 2026
0mins
Should l Buy MTH?
Source: seekingalpha
- Earnings Release Date: Meritage Homes is set to announce its Q4 earnings on January 28 after market close, with a consensus EPS estimate of $1.52, reflecting a significant year-over-year decline of 67.8%, indicating pressure on profitability.
- Revenue Expectations Decline: The anticipated revenue for Q4 is $1.49 billion, down 6.9% year-over-year, which highlights the ongoing weakness in the housing market and reduced demand that could impact the company's overall financial performance.
- Historical Performance Review: Over the past year, Meritage Homes has beaten EPS estimates 75% of the time but only 50% of the time for revenue, showcasing volatility in its profitability metrics.
- Estimate Revision Situation: In the last three months, there have been no upward revisions for EPS estimates, with 8 downward revisions, and similarly, revenue estimates have seen no upward revisions and 7 downward revisions, indicating a weakening market confidence in the company's future performance.
Trade with 70% Backtested Accuracy
Stop guessing "Should I Buy MTH?" and start using high-conviction signals backed by rigorous historical data.
Sign up today to access powerful investing tools and make smarter, data-driven decisions.
Analyst Views on MTH
Wall Street analysts forecast MTH stock price to rise
6 Analyst Rating
2 Buy
4 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 72.080
Low
74.00
Averages
85.50
High
104.00
Current: 72.080
Low
74.00
Averages
85.50
High
104.00
About MTH
Meritage Homes Corporation is a designer and builder of single-family attached and detached homes. The Company’s segments include homebuilding and financial services. The homebuilding segment is engaged in the business of acquiring and developing land, constructing homes, marketing and selling those homes and providing warranty and customer services. It has operations in three regions: West, Central and East, which are comprised of 12 states: Arizona, California, Colorado, Utah, Texas, Alabama, Florida, Georgia, Mississippi, North Carolina, South Carolina, and Tennessee. These three regions are its principal homebuilding segments. The financial services segment offers title and escrow, mortgage, and insurance services. Its financial services operations also provide mortgage services to its homebuyers through an unconsolidated joint venture. The Company’s homebuilding activities are conducted under the name of Meritage Homes in each of its homebuilding markets.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Truist Predicts Decline in Home Builder Revenue This Year, Yet Recommends These 4 Stocks for Purchase.
Home-builder revenue forecast: Home-builder revenue is expected to decline significantly in 2026 due to ongoing pressures in the housing market.
Investor opportunities: Despite the revenue drop, the situation presents a favorable opportunity for investors looking to target specific builders.
See More
Dendur Capital Fully Exits Meritage Homes Stake
- Position Change: Dendur Capital LP reported in an SEC filing dated February 17, 2026, that it sold its entire position of 891,000 shares in Meritage Homes, with an estimated transaction value of $64.54 million, indicating a cautious outlook on the company's future prospects as reflected in the net position decrease for the quarter.
- Asset Allocation Shift: This transaction reduced Meritage Homes' representation in Dendur Capital's assets from 6.7% to 0%, suggesting a complete exit from the stock, which may impact market confidence in the company moving forward.
- Market Environment Impact: High mortgage rates have made it increasingly difficult for entry-level buyers to afford homes, affecting Meritage Homes' primary market; however, the company continues to see housing demand in the fast-growing Sunbelt regions, indicating potential challenges for future growth.
- Management Strategy: Meritage has utilized incentives such as rate buydowns and closing cost support to sustain buyer interest, and despite rising borrowing costs, management has remained disciplined in land spending and community expansion, reflecting confidence in future demand amidst a challenging market environment.
See More
Dendur Capital Exits Entire Position in Meritage Homes
- Shareholder Change: Dendur Capital LP disclosed in an SEC filing dated February 17, 2026, that it sold its entire position of 891,000 shares in Meritage Homes for an estimated transaction value of $64.54 million, resulting in a 6.4% decrease in its 13F reportable assets under management.
- Asset Management Impact: Following this transaction, Dendur Capital's stake in Meritage dropped from 6.7% to 0%, indicating a significant loss of confidence in the company, which may affect its future investment strategies.
- Market Environment: Meritage Homes primarily targets first-time and move-up buyers, and despite a 12.4% increase in stock price over the past year, high mortgage rates continue to pressure its market, impacting sales potential.
- Future Outlook: The management remains disciplined in land spending and community expansion to protect returns; however, if incentives continue to rise, profits may shrink, prompting investors to monitor the sustainability of future demand.
See More
Meritage Homes Announces 12% Increase in Quarterly Dividend
- Dividend Increase: Meritage Homes has declared a quarterly dividend of $0.48 per share, representing a 12% year-over-year increase from $0.43 in 2025, reflecting the company's ongoing profitability and commitment to shareholder returns.
- Payment Schedule: The dividend is payable on March 31, 2026, to shareholders of record as of March 17, 2026, ensuring timely returns for investors and enhancing confidence in the company's financial health.
- Market Position: As the fifth-largest homebuilder in the U.S., Meritage delivered over 210,000 homes in 2025, showcasing its leadership in energy-efficient and affordable housing, thereby solidifying its market share.
- Industry Recognition: Meritage has received multiple awards from the EPA for its quality construction and customer experience, including the ENERGY STAR Partner of the Year for Sustained Excellence, highlighting its significant impact in sustainable building practices.
See More
U.S. Housing Shortage and Investment Opportunities
- Housing Shortage Reality: According to Goldman Sachs, the U.S. faces a shortage of 3 to 4 million homes, significantly exceeding the normal annual construction of 1.5 million, leading to fierce competition among buyers and rising prices, thus providing sustained market opportunities for major homebuilders.
- Growth Potential of LGI Homes: LGI Homes is projected to achieve an 11% sales growth this year and 6% next year, reaching $2 billion in sales by 2027, showcasing its ability to stand out in a competitive market, particularly among first-time homebuyers.
- Market Leadership of D.R. Horton: As the largest homebuilder in the U.S., D.R. Horton reported $34.3 billion in sales last year, with expectations to grow sales to nearly $40 billion in the coming years, and its reasonable 10x P/E ratio offers a compelling value proposition for investors.
- Income Model of Invitation Homes: Invitation Homes owns and manages over 100,000 homes, with projected sales growth of only 3%, but its 4.34% dividend yield significantly surpasses the market average, attracting more income-focused investors.
See More
UBS Lowers Target Price for Meritage Homes Corp to $95 from $101
Company Overview: Meritage Homes Corp is a homebuilding company that focuses on residential construction.
Stock Price Adjustment: The company has cut its target price from $101 to $95, indicating a reassessment of its market value.
See More
Truist Predicts Decline in Home Builder Revenue This Year, Yet Recommends These 4 Stocks for Purchase.
Home-builder revenue forecast: Home-builder revenue is expected to decline significantly in 2026 due to ongoing pressures in the housing market.
Investor opportunities: Despite the revenue drop, the situation presents a favorable opportunity for investors looking to target specific builders.
See More
Dendur Capital Fully Exits Meritage Homes Stake
- Position Change: Dendur Capital LP reported in an SEC filing dated February 17, 2026, that it sold its entire position of 891,000 shares in Meritage Homes, with an estimated transaction value of $64.54 million, indicating a cautious outlook on the company's future prospects as reflected in the net position decrease for the quarter.
- Asset Allocation Shift: This transaction reduced Meritage Homes' representation in Dendur Capital's assets from 6.7% to 0%, suggesting a complete exit from the stock, which may impact market confidence in the company moving forward.
- Market Environment Impact: High mortgage rates have made it increasingly difficult for entry-level buyers to afford homes, affecting Meritage Homes' primary market; however, the company continues to see housing demand in the fast-growing Sunbelt regions, indicating potential challenges for future growth.
- Management Strategy: Meritage has utilized incentives such as rate buydowns and closing cost support to sustain buyer interest, and despite rising borrowing costs, management has remained disciplined in land spending and community expansion, reflecting confidence in future demand amidst a challenging market environment.
See More
Dendur Capital Exits Entire Position in Meritage Homes
- Shareholder Change: Dendur Capital LP disclosed in an SEC filing dated February 17, 2026, that it sold its entire position of 891,000 shares in Meritage Homes for an estimated transaction value of $64.54 million, resulting in a 6.4% decrease in its 13F reportable assets under management.
- Asset Management Impact: Following this transaction, Dendur Capital's stake in Meritage dropped from 6.7% to 0%, indicating a significant loss of confidence in the company, which may affect its future investment strategies.
- Market Environment: Meritage Homes primarily targets first-time and move-up buyers, and despite a 12.4% increase in stock price over the past year, high mortgage rates continue to pressure its market, impacting sales potential.
- Future Outlook: The management remains disciplined in land spending and community expansion to protect returns; however, if incentives continue to rise, profits may shrink, prompting investors to monitor the sustainability of future demand.
See More
Meritage Homes Announces 12% Increase in Quarterly Dividend
- Dividend Increase: Meritage Homes has declared a quarterly dividend of $0.48 per share, representing a 12% year-over-year increase from $0.43 in 2025, reflecting the company's ongoing profitability and commitment to shareholder returns.
- Payment Schedule: The dividend is payable on March 31, 2026, to shareholders of record as of March 17, 2026, ensuring timely returns for investors and enhancing confidence in the company's financial health.
- Market Position: As the fifth-largest homebuilder in the U.S., Meritage delivered over 210,000 homes in 2025, showcasing its leadership in energy-efficient and affordable housing, thereby solidifying its market share.
- Industry Recognition: Meritage has received multiple awards from the EPA for its quality construction and customer experience, including the ENERGY STAR Partner of the Year for Sustained Excellence, highlighting its significant impact in sustainable building practices.
See More
U.S. Housing Shortage and Investment Opportunities
- Housing Shortage Reality: According to Goldman Sachs, the U.S. faces a shortage of 3 to 4 million homes, significantly exceeding the normal annual construction of 1.5 million, leading to fierce competition among buyers and rising prices, thus providing sustained market opportunities for major homebuilders.
- Growth Potential of LGI Homes: LGI Homes is projected to achieve an 11% sales growth this year and 6% next year, reaching $2 billion in sales by 2027, showcasing its ability to stand out in a competitive market, particularly among first-time homebuyers.
- Market Leadership of D.R. Horton: As the largest homebuilder in the U.S., D.R. Horton reported $34.3 billion in sales last year, with expectations to grow sales to nearly $40 billion in the coming years, and its reasonable 10x P/E ratio offers a compelling value proposition for investors.
- Income Model of Invitation Homes: Invitation Homes owns and manages over 100,000 homes, with projected sales growth of only 3%, but its 4.34% dividend yield significantly surpasses the market average, attracting more income-focused investors.
See More
UBS Lowers Target Price for Meritage Homes Corp to $95 from $101
Company Overview: Meritage Homes Corp is a homebuilding company that focuses on residential construction.
Stock Price Adjustment: The company has cut its target price from $101 to $95, indicating a reassessment of its market value.
See More
