Iren's Earnings Report Shows Volatility but Promising Future
- Stock Volatility: Iren's stock closed near $40 on earnings day but plunged below $30 in after-hours trading, only to rebound by 5% the following day, indicating strong market confidence in its long-term fundamentals.
- Customer Contract Expectations: Although investors were disappointed by the absence of new customer announcements, particularly similar to the $9.7 billion deal with Microsoft, CEO Daniel Roberts reassured that multiple contracts are under negotiation, maintaining confidence in the long-term AI investment thesis.
- Energy Bottleneck Solutions: With the 1.4 gigawatt Sweetwater 1 facility set to be energized in April, Iren is positioned to address energy bottlenecks for tech giants, enhancing its competitiveness for securing large contracts.
- New Data Center Development: Iren secured a 1.6 gigawatt data center in Oklahoma, with power scheduling ramping up by 2028, bringing total secured power to 4.5 gigawatts; if it achieves similar revenue rates as with Microsoft, annual revenue could exceed $40 billion.
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- Investment Resumption: Congressman Cleo Fields has resumed stock purchases in 2026, with recent disclosures indicating he bought six stocks, including three from the Magnificent Seven, reflecting his ongoing confidence in these high-growth companies.
- Capital Flow: According to data from Quiver Quantitative, Fields invested $20.37 million in 2025 with only $1.21 million in sales, demonstrating his positive outlook on the market and a long-term investment strategy.
- Focus Stocks: In his recent trades, Fields has made Nvidia his top stock, which ranked second among the Magnificent Seven in 2025 with a gain of 34.8%, further showcasing his strong confidence in the company.
- Market Impact: Fields' investment activities may influence market sentiment, particularly in the tech sector, as investors might closely monitor his continued investments in Magnificent Seven stocks to gauge future market trends.

Trump's New Initiative: During his State of the Union address, President Trump announced a new 'Rate Payer Protection Pledge' aimed at requiring major tech companies to establish their own plants to provide power for AI-HPC workloads.
Market Reactions: Following Trump's announcement, shares of TerraWulf (WULF) saw significant gains, with a nearly 12% increase, as investors speculated on the potential impact of the new AI energy pledge.
Earnings Expectations: TerraWulf is expected to report a revenue of $44 million, reflecting a year-on-year growth of over 26%, despite anticipated adjusted losses of $0.17 per share.
Stock Performance: WULF's stock has shown strong performance, gaining nearly 50% year-to-date and approximately 330% over the past 12 months, with analysts noting a positive sentiment around its future valuations.
- Burry's Accusations Against Big Tech: Burry claims that major tech firms like Meta and Microsoft are manipulating accounting practices and extending depreciation schedules to inflate earnings, although he overlooks the long-term value of AI infrastructure and the potential for reusing GPUs.
- CAPEX and Cash Flow Strain: Burry warns that unprecedented capital expenditures will strain cash flow; however, Alphabet's cash from operations has soared from under $100 billion to $164 billion by 2026, demonstrating significant cash flow growth driven by AI.
- NVIDIA Valuation Controversy: Burry compares NVIDIA to Cisco during the 2000 internet bubble, arguing it is overvalued, yet NVIDIA's current P/E ratio of 47 is significantly lower than Cisco's over 200 at its peak, highlighting fundamental differences between the two.
- Surge in H100 Rental Prices: Since mid-December, rental prices for NVIDIA's H100 GPUs have increased by approximately 17%, indicating strong demand for AI infrastructure, which bodes well for related stocks like Nebius and CoreWeave.
- Heavy Debt Burden: CoreWeave's debt exceeds $25 billion, creating a 'lenders first' structure that makes equity precarious under the requirement for 'constant growth', where even a slight deceleration in AI demand could lead to an equity wipeout.
- Significant Dependency Risks: Unlike IREN, which owns approximately 4.5GW of power, CoreWeave relies heavily on leasing, and this operational dependency, combined with a higher cost of capital, creates a fragile foundation for shareholders.
- Leverage Determines Survival: As the market differentiates between players, Jackson emphasizes that credit quality will be the ultimate 'destiny' for leveraged infrastructure; despite CoreWeave's $55 billion backlog, the lack of a proven track record during market downturns remains a red flag.
- Stock Price Volatility: CoreWeave's shares have risen 24.63% year-to-date while the Nasdaq Composite index fell 1.50% in the same period, showing strong short-term performance but weak medium to long-term trends, indicating a poor value ranking.
- Significant Investment: Cantor Fitzgerald's $126 million investment in Iren Limited (IREN) underscores its strong confidence in AI infrastructure, further enhancing IREN's credibility in the market.
- Market Value Shift: Cantor's portfolio market value has dropped to $6.59 billion from $10.3 billion, indicating a cautious approach to risk investments while reflecting overall market volatility.
- AI Infrastructure Growth: IREN generated $501 million in sales and $86.9 million in net income in FY25, showcasing rapid growth in the AI cloud services sector, particularly with Q2 AI cloud service sales reaching $17.3 million, a 136% increase from the previous quarter.
- Liquidity Advantage: IREN ended the year with $3.26 billion in cash and cash equivalents, demonstrating strong liquidity in the AI arms race, enabling future expansion and technology investments.
- Share Acquisition: On February 17, 2026, Cantor Fitzgerald disclosed to the SEC the acquisition of an additional 3,333,423 shares of IREN, with an estimated transaction value of $171.96 million, indicating strong confidence in the company's future prospects.
- Market Value Increase: This acquisition led to a $124.65 million increase in IREN's quarter-end value, reflecting the dual impact of new purchases and price changes, thereby solidifying Cantor Fitzgerald's investment strategy in the digital asset sector.
- Portfolio Adjustment: Following this transaction, IREN now represents 1.99% of Cantor Fitzgerald's 13F AUM, while the firm drastically reduced its stake in CoreWeave by 86%, highlighting its focus on IREN's growth potential.
- Market Performance: As of February 17, 2026, IREN shares were priced at $40.97, up 215.9% year-over-year, significantly outperforming the S&P 500 by 203 percentage points, showcasing its robust performance in the data center and Bitcoin mining sectors.







