Flutter's 2026 Profit Forecast Falls Short of Expectations
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 5 days ago
0mins
Should l Buy CME?
Source: Newsfilter
- Profit Growth Forecast: Flutter anticipates a modest 4% increase in core profit for 2026, reaching $2.97 billion, significantly below the $3.5 billion expected by analysts, reflecting challenges in U.S. market customer engagement.
- Stock Price Reaction: Following the profit guidance announcement, Flutter's shares fell over 9% in after-hours trading, indicating market concerns regarding its future profitability.
- Customer Strategy Misfire: CEO Peter Jackson acknowledged that the company's promotional and bonus strategies failed to execute effectively in light of decreased customer interest during critical NFL playoff games, leading to customer attrition.
- Market Investment Plans: Flutter intends to increase investment in its new prediction markets platform, which is expected to reduce core profit by $200 million to $300 million in 2026, aiming to enhance customer loyalty and improve competitive positioning.
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Analyst Views on CME
Wall Street analysts forecast CME stock price to fall
10 Analyst Rating
4 Buy
4 Hold
2 Sell
Hold
Current: 325.130
Low
209.00
Averages
285.90
High
320.00
Current: 325.130
Low
209.00
Averages
285.90
High
320.00
About CME
CME Group Inc. provides a derivatives marketplace. The Company enables clients to trade futures, options, cash and over the counter (OTC) markets, optimize portfolios, and analyze data. It exchanges offer a range of global benchmark products across all major asset classes based on interest rates, equity indexes, foreign exchange (FX), energy, agricultural products and metals. It offers futures and options on futures trading through the CME Globex platform, fixed income trading via BrokerTec and FX trading on the EBS platform. In addition, it operates central counterparty clearing provider, CME Clearing. Its products provide a means for hedging, speculation and asset allocation related to the risks associated with, among other things, interest rate sensitive instruments, and changes in the prices of agricultural, energy and metal commodities. It provides clearing and settlement services for a range of exchange-traded futures and options on futures contracts and OTC derivatives.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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See More
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- Regulatory Role: He argues that the CFTC is not suited to regulate prediction markets as its primary focus is market oversight rather than consumer protection, potentially exposing consumers to risks in these markets.
- National Security Risks: Mulvaney warns that trading in prediction markets could leak classified information, posing a threat to U.S. national security if adversaries glean intelligence that could be used against the nation, necessitating investigation.
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See More
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- Treasury Yield Spike: The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield has surged over 14 basis points this week to around 4.1%, while the more sensitive 2-year note yield has jumped nearly 20 basis points to 3.53%, indicating heightened sensitivity to Federal Reserve policy expectations.
- Inflation Expectations Impact: Despite a downward trend in U.S. inflation, the producer price index rose by 0.8% in January, significantly exceeding expectations, which has led to a decrease in rate cut expectations, with the probability of maintaining rates unchanged at the June meeting rising to 63%.
- Unusual Market Reaction: Typically, investors flock to Treasuries during uncertain times, but the current surge in energy prices and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have resulted in a market response that deviates from historical norms, reflecting investor concerns about future economic conditions.
See More
