AI Disruption Creates Opportunities for Stock Selectors.
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Feb 18 2026
0mins
Should l Buy PLTR?
Source: Barron's
Efficient Markets Theory: Burton Malkiel's 1973 book, "A Random Walk Down Wall Street," introduced the concept of efficient markets, suggesting that stock prices reflect all available information.
Random Selection vs. Expertise: Malkiel famously argued that a "blindfolded monkey" could randomly select stocks and achieve returns comparable to those of professional financial experts.
Trade with 70% Backtested Accuracy
Stop guessing "Should I Buy PLTR?" and start using high-conviction signals backed by rigorous historical data.
Sign up today to access powerful investing tools and make smarter, data-driven decisions.
Analyst Views on PLTR
Wall Street analysts forecast PLTR stock price to rise
17 Analyst Rating
5 Buy
10 Hold
2 Sell
Hold
Current: 137.190
Low
50.00
Averages
192.88
High
255.00
Current: 137.190
Low
50.00
Averages
192.88
High
255.00
About PLTR
Palantir Technologies Inc. is engaged in building software to assist in counterterrorism investigations and operations. The Company has built four principal software platforms, including Palantir Gotham (Gotham), Palantir Foundry (Foundry), Palantir Apollo (Apollo), and Palantir Artificial Intelligence Platform (AIP). Apollo is a cloud-agnostic, single control layer that coordinates ongoing delivery of new features, security updates, and platform configurations, helping to ensure the continuous operation of critical systems. Gotham enables users to identify patterns hidden deep within datasets, ranging from signals intelligence sources to reports from confidential informants. Foundry transforms the ways organizations operate by creating a central operating system for their data. AIP enables responsible artificial intelligence (AI)-advantage across the enterprise by using primary, core components built to effectively activate large language models and other AI within any organization.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Palantir Stock Rises Amid U.S.-Iran Military Conflict
- Positive Market Reaction: Palantir Technologies Inc. (NASDAQ:PLTR) saw a 4.21% increase in premarket trading on Monday, reaching $142.85, reflecting strong investor interest in defense-linked AI companies amid escalating U.S.-Iran military conflict.
- Industry Dynamics Impact: With airspace closures across Iran, Kuwait, Bahrain, and Iraq, and oil prices surging 7.71% to around $72.19 per barrel, investors are rotating into companies with direct exposure to defense and government intelligence, positioning Palantir favorably within this trend.
- Strong Earnings Expectations: Palantir is expected to report earnings on May 4, with an estimated EPS of 26 cents (up 100% year-over-year) and revenue projected at $1.54 billion (up 75% year-over-year), indicating robust growth potential in the defense sector.
- Optimistic Analyst Ratings: The stock carries a Buy rating with an average price target of $162.46, with recent analyst upgrades including Rosenblatt's Buy initiation (target $150) and UBS's upgrade to Buy (target $180), reflecting confidence in its future performance.
See More
Palantir's Stock Rally Amid Middle East Tensions Revives Defense Narrative
- Stock Price Recovery: Palantir's stock has rallied amid escalating tensions in the Middle East, although it has corrected nearly 30% since early November, indicating a shift in market sentiment as new buyers differ from previous retail investors.
- Government Contract Growth: U.S. government contracts, which account for 42% of Palantir's total revenue, grew by 66% year-over-year in Q4, highlighting the company's strengthening position in the defense and intelligence sectors and its inclusion in defense ETFs.
- Diversified Investor Base: Unlike retail traders who may quickly change their positions, ETF holders tend to be more systematic, suggesting that Palantir is transitioning into a core asset for institutional investors, reflecting its appeal amid ongoing geopolitical tensions and robust government spending.
- Valuation Challenges: Despite strong revenue growth, Palantir's forward price-to-earnings ratio reached 113.64 as of March 2, which remains a persistent concern for investors, indicating that its valuation may limit further stock price appreciation.
See More
Peter Thiel Files to Sell 2 Million Shares of Palantir
- Share Sale Plan: Billionaire venture capitalist Peter Thiel plans to sell 2 million shares of Palantir Technologies (PLTR), valued at approximately $280 million or $140 per share, which may impact market confidence in Palantir.
- Shareholding Change: Following this transaction, Thiel will retain 2.29 billion shares of Palantir, indicating his continued confidence in the company's future, although some market analysts express concerns about the implications of his sale.
- Founder Background: Thiel is one of the founders of Palantir, having co-created this leading AI decision-making engine with partner Alex Karp, leveraging early fraud detection systems from PayPal, showcasing his significant role in Silicon Valley venture capital.
- Market Reaction: While Thiel's sale may trigger short-term market volatility, analysts note that Palantir's role in defense remains solid, especially in the context of the U.S.-Iran conflict, highlighting the increasing value of its AI military moat.
See More
OpenAI CEO Admits Rushed Deal with Defense Department
- Contract Revision Commitment: OpenAI CEO Sam Altman stated that the company would revise its agreement with the U.S. Department of Defense, particularly to include clauses preventing domestic surveillance, aiming to alleviate public concerns over potential misuse of technology and enhance the company's credibility in government contracts.
- Focus on Technical Safety: Altman emphasized that many technologies are not yet ready to handle complex safety trade-offs, and OpenAI will collaborate with the Pentagon to ensure the safe use of its technologies, demonstrating the company's commitment to responsible technology deployment.
- Market Reaction and Competitive Pressure: Following the deal with the Defense Department, public reactions to OpenAI were mixed, with many users reportedly switching to competitor Anthropic's Claude, reflecting a heightened market concern for transparency in AI technology usage, which could impact OpenAI's market share.
- Support for Competitors: Altman urged on social media for the Defense Department not to designate Anthropic as a supply chain risk, indicating his emphasis on industry collaboration and aiming to maintain stability and growth within the broader AI ecosystem.
See More
Palantir Technologies Shares Surge 11% Amid Strong Earnings
- Significant Revenue Growth: Palantir's revenue surged 70% year-over-year to $1.4 billion in the latest quarter, primarily driven by a 137% increase in its U.S. commercial segment, showcasing the company's rapid expansion in the enterprise market and enhancing its competitive position.
- Strong Profitability: The company reported an adjusted free cash flow of $791 million in Q4, achieving a 56% free cash flow margin, indicating that Palantir can maintain robust profitability while aggressively expanding, which boosts investor confidence.
- Contract Value Surge: Palantir's remaining deal value jumped 105% year-over-year to $11.2 billion, reflecting strong future revenue potential and further solidifying market expectations for its continued growth.
- Significant Valuation Risks: Despite excellent performance, the current market capitalization nearing $350 billion and a price-to-sales ratio of about 80 times indicate that the market has priced in high growth expectations, meaning any performance slip could lead to substantial stock price volatility, necessitating caution from investors.
See More
Palantir Reports 70% Revenue Growth in Latest Quarter
- Significant Revenue Growth: Palantir reported a 70% year-over-year revenue increase in its latest quarter, reaching $1.4 billion, accelerating from a 63% growth rate in the previous quarter, indicating strong market performance.
- Strong Commercial Segment: The U.S. commercial segment saw a remarkable 137% year-over-year revenue surge to $507 million, demonstrating Palantir's successful expansion beyond its traditional intelligence agency customer base.
- Excellent Cash Flow Performance: The company's fourth-quarter adjusted free cash flow stood at $791 million, with a free cash flow margin of 56%, showcasing its ability to maintain strong profitability amid rapid expansion.
- Future Growth Expectations: Management anticipates revenue of approximately $7.2 billion this year, representing a 61% growth, and despite market concerns over its high valuation, the dual engines of government and commercial revenue suggest sustainable growth potential.
See More
Palantir Stock Rises Amid U.S.-Iran Military Conflict
- Positive Market Reaction: Palantir Technologies Inc. (NASDAQ:PLTR) saw a 4.21% increase in premarket trading on Monday, reaching $142.85, reflecting strong investor interest in defense-linked AI companies amid escalating U.S.-Iran military conflict.
- Industry Dynamics Impact: With airspace closures across Iran, Kuwait, Bahrain, and Iraq, and oil prices surging 7.71% to around $72.19 per barrel, investors are rotating into companies with direct exposure to defense and government intelligence, positioning Palantir favorably within this trend.
- Strong Earnings Expectations: Palantir is expected to report earnings on May 4, with an estimated EPS of 26 cents (up 100% year-over-year) and revenue projected at $1.54 billion (up 75% year-over-year), indicating robust growth potential in the defense sector.
- Optimistic Analyst Ratings: The stock carries a Buy rating with an average price target of $162.46, with recent analyst upgrades including Rosenblatt's Buy initiation (target $150) and UBS's upgrade to Buy (target $180), reflecting confidence in its future performance.
See More
Palantir's Stock Rally Amid Middle East Tensions Revives Defense Narrative
- Stock Price Recovery: Palantir's stock has rallied amid escalating tensions in the Middle East, although it has corrected nearly 30% since early November, indicating a shift in market sentiment as new buyers differ from previous retail investors.
- Government Contract Growth: U.S. government contracts, which account for 42% of Palantir's total revenue, grew by 66% year-over-year in Q4, highlighting the company's strengthening position in the defense and intelligence sectors and its inclusion in defense ETFs.
- Diversified Investor Base: Unlike retail traders who may quickly change their positions, ETF holders tend to be more systematic, suggesting that Palantir is transitioning into a core asset for institutional investors, reflecting its appeal amid ongoing geopolitical tensions and robust government spending.
- Valuation Challenges: Despite strong revenue growth, Palantir's forward price-to-earnings ratio reached 113.64 as of March 2, which remains a persistent concern for investors, indicating that its valuation may limit further stock price appreciation.
See More
Peter Thiel Files to Sell 2 Million Shares of Palantir
- Share Sale Plan: Billionaire venture capitalist Peter Thiel plans to sell 2 million shares of Palantir Technologies (PLTR), valued at approximately $280 million or $140 per share, which may impact market confidence in Palantir.
- Shareholding Change: Following this transaction, Thiel will retain 2.29 billion shares of Palantir, indicating his continued confidence in the company's future, although some market analysts express concerns about the implications of his sale.
- Founder Background: Thiel is one of the founders of Palantir, having co-created this leading AI decision-making engine with partner Alex Karp, leveraging early fraud detection systems from PayPal, showcasing his significant role in Silicon Valley venture capital.
- Market Reaction: While Thiel's sale may trigger short-term market volatility, analysts note that Palantir's role in defense remains solid, especially in the context of the U.S.-Iran conflict, highlighting the increasing value of its AI military moat.
See More
OpenAI CEO Admits Rushed Deal with Defense Department
- Contract Revision Commitment: OpenAI CEO Sam Altman stated that the company would revise its agreement with the U.S. Department of Defense, particularly to include clauses preventing domestic surveillance, aiming to alleviate public concerns over potential misuse of technology and enhance the company's credibility in government contracts.
- Focus on Technical Safety: Altman emphasized that many technologies are not yet ready to handle complex safety trade-offs, and OpenAI will collaborate with the Pentagon to ensure the safe use of its technologies, demonstrating the company's commitment to responsible technology deployment.
- Market Reaction and Competitive Pressure: Following the deal with the Defense Department, public reactions to OpenAI were mixed, with many users reportedly switching to competitor Anthropic's Claude, reflecting a heightened market concern for transparency in AI technology usage, which could impact OpenAI's market share.
- Support for Competitors: Altman urged on social media for the Defense Department not to designate Anthropic as a supply chain risk, indicating his emphasis on industry collaboration and aiming to maintain stability and growth within the broader AI ecosystem.
See More
Palantir Technologies Shares Surge 11% Amid Strong Earnings
- Significant Revenue Growth: Palantir's revenue surged 70% year-over-year to $1.4 billion in the latest quarter, primarily driven by a 137% increase in its U.S. commercial segment, showcasing the company's rapid expansion in the enterprise market and enhancing its competitive position.
- Strong Profitability: The company reported an adjusted free cash flow of $791 million in Q4, achieving a 56% free cash flow margin, indicating that Palantir can maintain robust profitability while aggressively expanding, which boosts investor confidence.
- Contract Value Surge: Palantir's remaining deal value jumped 105% year-over-year to $11.2 billion, reflecting strong future revenue potential and further solidifying market expectations for its continued growth.
- Significant Valuation Risks: Despite excellent performance, the current market capitalization nearing $350 billion and a price-to-sales ratio of about 80 times indicate that the market has priced in high growth expectations, meaning any performance slip could lead to substantial stock price volatility, necessitating caution from investors.
See More
Palantir Reports 70% Revenue Growth in Latest Quarter
- Significant Revenue Growth: Palantir reported a 70% year-over-year revenue increase in its latest quarter, reaching $1.4 billion, accelerating from a 63% growth rate in the previous quarter, indicating strong market performance.
- Strong Commercial Segment: The U.S. commercial segment saw a remarkable 137% year-over-year revenue surge to $507 million, demonstrating Palantir's successful expansion beyond its traditional intelligence agency customer base.
- Excellent Cash Flow Performance: The company's fourth-quarter adjusted free cash flow stood at $791 million, with a free cash flow margin of 56%, showcasing its ability to maintain strong profitability amid rapid expansion.
- Future Growth Expectations: Management anticipates revenue of approximately $7.2 billion this year, representing a 61% growth, and despite market concerns over its high valuation, the dual engines of government and commercial revenue suggest sustainable growth potential.
See More
