Bitcoin Posts -23.21% Return in Q1 2026, Third-Worst Since 2013
- Q1 Performance: According to CoinGlass data, Bitcoin's return in Q1 2026 was -23.21%, marking the third-worst performance since 2013 and significantly below the historical average of 45.90%, indicating extreme market volatility.
- Ethereum's Worse Outcome: Ethereum fared even worse with a -32.17% return in the same quarter, also the third-worst since 2016, falling far below its historical average of 66.45%, reflecting overall weakness in the crypto market.
- Historical Volatility Analysis: Bitcoin's quarterly returns since 2013 show no consistent first-quarter pattern, as strong performances in 2013 and 2021 skew the historical average, while most years tend to show slight losses, indicating a bearish trend.
- Consecutive Losing Quarters: The -23.21% return in Q1 2026 exceeded the -23.07% loss in Q4 2025, resulting in back-to-back losing quarters for Bitcoin, reminiscent of the overall losses seen in 2022 across all four quarters.
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Technical Analysis for BTC
Technical Sentiment Analysis for Bitcoin (BTC). As of , Bitcoin (BTC) is exhibiting a Strong sell technical sentiment. Our proprietary analysis, which aggregates 4 technical signals, shows that 0 indicators are flashing buy, while 4 are indicating sell.
Momentum Indicators: RSI, MACD & Overbought/Oversold Status. Currently, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) for BTC stands at -, which suggests a Neutral condition. Meanwhile, the MACD (12, 26) indicator is at -, providing a Neutral signal for short-term momentum. Other oscillators like the Stochastic Oscillator at - and the Commodity Channel Index (CCI) at - further confirm a - outlook for the crypto.
Support, Resistance & Moving Averages. From a structural perspective, BTC is trading below its 60-day moving average of $- and below its 200-day long-term moving average of $-. Key price levels to watch include the immediate resistance at $- and strong support at $-. A break above $- could signal a bull continuation, while falling below $- may test the next Fibonacci floor at $-.
Bitcoin (BTC) Support & Resistance Level
| Name | S3 | S2 | S1 | Pivot Points | R1 | R2 | R3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Classic | 55190.327 | 58850.303 | 62668.877 | 66328.853 | 70147.427 | 73807.403 | 77625.977 |
| Fibonacci | 58850.303 | 61707.109 | 63472.047 | 66328.853 | 69185.659 | 70950.597 | 73807.403 |
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